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Gurupi vs Guarai SC

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 game between Gurupi and Guarai SC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gurupi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gurupi
6%
Draws
4%
Guarai SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarai SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Gurupi taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 20%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi Guarai SC
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 11 12
Draws 13 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Gurupi
0:1
Apr 21, 2015 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Guarai SC
2:1
Mar 21, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Gurupi
2:1
May 4, 2014 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Gurupi
0:0
Mar 29, 2014 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Guarai SC
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi 85 / 100
Guarai SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi Guarai SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gurupi's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Guarai SC conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Gurupi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi VS Guarai SC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gurupi1481521:1425
2Tocantinopolis1473430:1924
3Palmas1466231:2324
4Interporto1464418:1122
5Tocantins1454523:2119
6Araguaina1454518:2119
7Colinas1426619:3412
8Guarai SC1414911:287