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Gurupi vs Guarai SC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2014
Gurupi Logo

Gurupi

3 - 1
FT
Guarai SC Logo

Guarai SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 game between Gurupi and Guarai SC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gurupi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gurupi
20%
Draws
29%
Guarai SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Guarai SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 18%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi Guarai SC
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 12 13
Draws 13 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.17 2.16
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Gurupi
0:1
Apr 21, 2015 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Guarai SC
2:1
Mar 21, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Gurupi
2:1
May 4, 2014 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Gurupi
0:0
Mar 29, 2014 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Guarai SC
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi 32 / 100
Guarai SC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi Guarai SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gurupi's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Guarai SC conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Gurupi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi VS Guarai SC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gurupi

(Home)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
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Guarai SC

(Away)
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
22 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
2 : 0
Guarai SC
14 Feb
Araguaina
3 : 1
Guarai SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gurupi 14 8 1 5 21:14 25
2 Tocantinopolis 14 7 3 4 30:19 24
3 Palmas 14 6 6 2 31:23 24
4 Interporto 14 6 4 4 18:11 22
5 Tocantins 14 5 4 5 23:21 19
6 Araguaina 14 5 4 5 18:21 19
7 Colinas 14 2 6 6 19:34 12
8 Guarai SC 14 1 4 9 11:28 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 (Play Offs)