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Gurupi vs Palmas

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gurupi
6%
Draws
4%
Palmas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gurupi have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Palmas are scoring more at 1.38.
  • Model gives Gurupi a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 20%
Palmas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi Palmas
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 13 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Palmas
1:0
Jan 29, 2023 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Gurupi
0:3
Mar 1, 2022 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Palmas
1:3
Mar 3, 2021 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Palmas
1:5
Jun 20, 2018 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Gurupi
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi 85 / 100
Palmas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi Palmas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Gurupi found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Palmas has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Gurupi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi VS Palmas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gurupi

(Home)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
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Palmas

(Away)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gurupi3
Interporto2
Palmas2
Tocantinopolis0
Final
Gurupi3
Palmas4