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Gurupi vs SD Sparta

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
Gurupi Logo

Gurupi

1 - 2
FT
SD Sparta Logo

SD Sparta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SD Sparta in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Sparta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Gurupi
35%
Draws
30%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Gurupi haven't matched SD Sparta's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gurupi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 20%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi SD Sparta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 13 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2018 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs SD Sparta
1:2
Apr 3, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Gurupi
3:3
Apr 29, 2017 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Gurupi
1:1
Apr 22, 2017 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs SD Sparta
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi 40 / 100
SD Sparta 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi SD Sparta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gurupi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Gurupi found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: SD Sparta conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Gurupi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi VS SD Sparta
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gurupi

(Home)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
Page 1 of 6

SD Sparta

(Away)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 12 5 7 0 17:7 22
2 Tocantinopolis 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
3 Palmas 12 5 5 2 18:11 20
4 Gurupi 12 5 4 3 23:10 19
5 SD Sparta 12 4 3 5 18:17 15
6 Araguaina 12 3 6 3 13:13 15
7 Paraiso EC 12 0 0 12 0:36 0
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 (Play Offs)