Sport Picks

Germany

2. Bundesliga Women 2024/2025 Tönnies Arena

Union Berlin W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gutersloh W play Union Berlin W in the 2. Bundesliga Women 2024/2025. Union Berlin W are favorites here. Recently, Gutersloh W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. Union Berlin W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Gutersloh W won 2, Union Berlin W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 18, 2025 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Gutersloh W and 1.43 for Union Berlin W. This points to a Union Berlin W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Gutersloh W

15%

Draws

61%

Union Berlin W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Berlin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Gutersloh W picked up more points recently compared to Union Berlin W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.43 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 93%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Gutersloh W Clean Sheet 17%

Union Berlin W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 84%

Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gutersloh W	Union Berlin W
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	13
Draws	2	6
Losses	23	13
Goals Scored	1.03	2
Goals Conceded	2.87	1.72

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 2. Bundesliga Women

Union Berlin W vs Gutersloh W

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

6:0

Dec 15, 2024 2. Bundesliga Women

Gutersloh W vs Union Berlin W

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Aug 20, 2024 DFB Pokal Women

Gutersloh W vs Union Berlin W

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

2:3

Apr 2, 2017 2. Bundesliga Women

Union Berlin W vs Gutersloh W

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

2:4

Oct 16, 2016 2. Bundesliga Women

Gutersloh W vs Union Berlin W

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gutersloh W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baumgartel J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Union Berlin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Becker M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Heiseler L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gutersloh W 25 / 100

Union Berlin W 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gutersloh W Union Berlin W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Berlin W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Union Berlin W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.4%

1.39

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gutersloh W attacking → ← attacking Union Berlin W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gutersloh W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Union Berlin W let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Gutersloh W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Union Berlin W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 45

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Union Berlin W	26	19	5	2	71:17	62
2	1.FC Nurnberg W	26	20	2	4	62:24	62
3	Hamburger W	26	15	8	3	50:15	53
4	SC Sand W	26	14	5	7	66:46	47
5	Meppen W	26	13	4	9	40:29	43
6	Eintracht Frankfurt II W	26	13	4	9	29:25	43
7	Bochum W	26	11	5	10	40:40	38
8	Ingolstadt W	26	10	5	11	41:43	35
9	B. Monchengladbach W	26	8	5	13	33:41	29
10	Bayern Munich II W	26	6	6	14	30:45	24
11	Andernach W	26	7	3	16	23:54	24
12	Weinberg W	26	5	5	16	22:62	20
13	Freiburg II W	26	5	3	18	21:45	18
14	Gutersloh W	26	5	2	19	29:71	17