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GVV Unitas vs Dongen

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Sat, Jun 1, 2024
2 - 1
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Goes D.
39' Event
Bastmeijer S.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with GVV Unitas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
GVV Unitas
15%
Draws
26%
Dongen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GVV Unitas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dongen come out ahead of GVV Unitas on wins alone.
  • Model gives GVV Unitas a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Dongen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dongen, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
GVV Unitas Clean Sheet 14%
Dongen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GVV Unitas Dongen
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Derde Divisie
GVV Unitas vs Dongen
2:1
May 29, 2024 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs GVV Unitas
1:1
May 28, 2023 Derde Divisie
GVV Unitas vs Dongen
1:3
Dec 4, 2022 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs GVV Unitas
4:2
May 22, 2022 Derde Divisie
GVV Unitas vs Dongen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GVV Unitas Compare

Top Goalscorer Goes D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Dongen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastmeijer S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GVV Unitas 66 / 100
Dongen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GVV Unitas Dongen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GVV Unitas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dongen has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: GVV Unitas scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: GVV Unitas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GVV Unitas VS Dongen
1.33 Goals Scored 1.38
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GVV Unitas

(Home)
15 Jun
Rohda Raalte
4 : 0
GVV Unitas
12 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
GVV Unitas
08 Jun
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 0
GVV Unitas
05 Jun
GVV Unitas
2 : 2
FC 's-Gravenzande
01 Jun
GVV Unitas
2 : 1
Dongen
Page 1 of 7

Dongen

(Away)
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2
Dongen
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2
Gemert
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
HBC 3
VV Scherpenzeel 2
Watergraafsmeer 5
Staphorst 4
Rohda Raalte 4
VV Hoogeveen 3
AZSV 1
Huizen 2
Smitshoek 3
AWC 1
Westlandia 0
Achilles Veen 5
Dongen 2
GVV Unitas 3
RKSV Halsteren 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 5
Final
HBC 4
Watergraafsmeer 1
Rohda Raalte 0
Huizen 1
Smitshoek 2
Achilles Veen 0
GVV Unitas 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 3