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Gwalia United W vs Cheltenham W

England England

Women's National League South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Women's National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gwalia United W
6%
Draws
4%
Cheltenham W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gwalia United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gwalia United W haven't matched Cheltenham W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gwalia United W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Women's National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gwalia United W Clean Sheet 20%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwalia United W Cheltenham W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Gwalia United W
2:2
Oct 30, 2025 Women's National League South
Gwalia United W vs Cheltenham W
1:1
Feb 12, 2025 Women's National League South
Gwalia United W vs Cheltenham W
2:1
Sep 26, 2024 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Gwalia United W
2:2
Feb 18, 2024 Women's National League South
Gwalia United W vs Cheltenham W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwalia United W 85 / 100
Cheltenham W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwalia United W Cheltenham W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GWA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Cheltenham W conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: Cheltenham W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gwalia United W's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gwalia United W VS Cheltenham W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Watford W22172380:2453
2Plymouth W22164261:1152
3Bournemouth W22144461:2046
4Oxford Utd W22123744:2739
5Lewes W22121946:2737
6Real Bedford W22931042:3430
7Exeter W22931039:3530
8Cheltenham W22731231:4624
9Hashtag W22651134:3823
10AFC Wimbledon W22641230:4822
11Gwalia United W22641228:4622
12Billericay W2200225:1450