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Gwalia United W vs Plymouth W

England England

Women's National League South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gwalia United W play Plymouth W in the Women's National League South. Plymouth W are favorites here. Recently, Gwalia United W averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Plymouth W averaged 2.48 goals scored and 0.64 conceded. In past meetings, Gwalia United W won 0, Plymouth W won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Gwalia United W and 1.81 for Plymouth W. This points to a Plymouth W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Gwalia United W
16%
Draws
58%
Plymouth W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Plymouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Gwalia United W picked up more points recently compared to Plymouth W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Gwalia United W Clean Sheet 11%
Plymouth W Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwalia United W Plymouth W
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 10 22
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.35 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Women's National League South
Gwalia United W vs Plymouth W
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Plymouth W vs Gwalia United W
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Women's National League South
Plymouth W vs Gwalia United W
5:1
Apr 27, 2025 Women's National League South
Gwalia United W vs Plymouth W
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Women's National League South
Plymouth W vs Gwalia United W
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwalia United W 26 / 100
Plymouth W 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwalia United W Plymouth W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plymouth W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Plymouth W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gwalia United W attacking → ← attacking Plymouth W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwalia United W scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Plymouth W let in goals in 45% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Gwalia United W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Plymouth W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 71
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Watford W22172380:2453
2Plymouth W22164261:1152
3Bournemouth W22144461:2046
4Oxford Utd W22123744:2739
5Lewes W22121946:2737
6Real Bedford W22931042:3430
7Exeter W22931039:3530
8Cheltenham W22731231:4624
9Hashtag W22651134:3823
10AFC Wimbledon W22641230:4822
11Gwalia United W22641228:4622
12Billericay W2200225:1450