Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Yu Je-Ho In: Ju Se-Jong
Out: Yu Je-Ho
25'
An Tae-Hyun
46'
Sub
Han Ji-Ho In: Vitor Gabriel
Out: Han Ji-Ho

AI Match Summary

Bucheon FC 1995 in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bucheon FC 1995.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gwangju FC
20%
Draws
38%
Bucheon FC 1995
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gwangju FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bucheon FC 1995 lately — more wins on the board than Gwangju FC.
  • Gwangju FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 68%
Bucheon FC 1995 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwangju FC Bucheon FC 1995
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
0:1
Aug 27, 2025 Korean Cup
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
1:2
Aug 20, 2025 Korean Cup
Gwangju FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
2:0
Jun 19, 2024 Korean Cup
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
2:3
Aug 30, 2022 K League 2
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwangju FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Bucheon FC 1995 Compare

Top Goalscorer Galego
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwangju FC 51 / 100
Bucheon FC 1995 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwangju FC Bucheon FC 1995

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gwangju FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gwangju FC found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Bucheon FC 1995 conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gwangju FC VS Bucheon FC 1995
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwangju FC

(Home)
22 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
19 Jul
Anyang
1 : 1
Gwangju FC
11 Jul
Gwangju FC
0 : 3
Pohang
05 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
16 May
Incheon
4 : 0
Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 6

Bucheon FC 1995

(Away)
22 Jul
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 3
Anyang
19 Jul
Bucheon FC 1995
1 : 3
Seoul
11 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
04 Jul
Daejeon
2 : 2
Bucheon FC 1995
17 May
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 0
Pohang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul19133334:1442
2Gangwon1988324:1232
3Jeonbuk1986525:1630
4Ulsan Hyundai1984727:2828
5Pohang1984720:1928
6Anyang1969426:2227
7Incheon1983824:2027
8Jeju SK1966717:1924
9Daejeon1948721:2020
10Bucheon FC 19951947817:2419
11Gimcheon Sangmu19211618:2617
12Gwangju FC19171110:4310
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)