Sport Picks

South Korea

Korean Cup 2025 Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju

Gwangju FC

2 - 0

Gyeongju KHNP

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Gabriel Tigrao

57'

Park In-Hyeok

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Gwangju FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Gwangju FC

30%

Draws

34%

Gyeongju KHNP

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gwangju FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Gwangju FC haven't matched Gyeongju KHNP's recent run of results.
Gwangju FC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Gyeongju KHNP arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Gwangju FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 18%

Gyeongju KHNP Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gwangju FC	Gyeongju KHNP
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	5	7
Draws	8	13
Losses	15	9
Goals Scored	0.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2025 Korean Cup

Gwangju FC vs Gyeongju KHNP

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwangju FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Tigrao

1 Goals

Assists Leader Park In-Hyeok

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Gyeongju KHNP Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwangju FC 36 / 100

Gyeongju KHNP 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gwangju FC Gyeongju KHNP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Gwangju FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gwangju FC scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Gyeongju KHNP has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gwangju FC VS Gyeongju KHNP

0.38 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwangju FC

(Home)

22 Jul

Gwangju FC

1 : 1

Gimcheon Sangmu

19 Jul

Anyang

1 : 1

Gwangju FC

11 Jul

Gwangju FC

0 : 3

Pohang

05 Jul

Gwangju FC

1 : 1

Ulsan Hyundai

16 May

Incheon

4 : 0

Gwangju FC

Page 1 of 6

Gyeongju KHNP

(Away)

15 Jul

Cheongju

4 : 0

Gyeongju KHNP

11 Jul

Daejeon Korail

0 : 1

Gyeongju KHNP

05 Jul

Gyeongju KHNP

3 : 0

Seosan Pioneer

28 Jun

Gyeongju KHNP

1 : 3

Pocheon

21 Jun

Busan Kyotong

1 : 1

Gyeongju KHNP

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Yangsan Eogok1

Busan Kyotong2

TBD-

Busan-

TBD-

Suwon FC-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Gyeongju KHNP-

TBD-

Seoul Jungnang0

Paju Frontier3

Ulsan Hyundai-

TBD-

Gimhae Jaemics2

Chuncheon4

TBD-

Incheon-

Gyeongnam-

TBD-

Pyeongchang United2

Yangpyeong1

Hyochang0

Gijang United4

TBD-

Gimpo FC-

Cheonan City-

TBD-

Cheongsol0

Pocheon5

TBD-

Pohang-

Yeoju Citizen4

Mokpo3

TBD-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Jeju SK-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon Bluewings-

TBD-

Seoul E-Land-

Incheon Seogot0

Daejeon Korail9

TBD-

Cheongju-

Changwon-

TBD-

Geonyung1

Namyangju5

TBD-

Seoul-

Dangjin Citizen1

Gangneung2

TBD-

Chungnam Asan-

TBD-

Daejeon-

Jeonbuk-

TBD-

Ansan Greeners-

TBD-

Jeonbuk Jeonju0

Pyeongtaek Citizen6

Sejong SA3

Ulsan Citizen0

TBD-

Jeonnam-

TBD-

Anyang-

Daegu-

TBD-

Gimhae-

TBD-

Yangcheon TNT0

Geoje1

Gangwon-

TBD-

Siheung Citizen-

TBD-

Seongnam-

Hwaseong-

TBD-

Jinju Citizen1

Yeoncheon0

1/32-finals

Busan Kyotong2

Busan1

TBD-

Suwon FC-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Gyeongju KHNP4

Paju Frontier1

Ulsan Hyundai-

TBD-

Chuncheon0

Incheon3

Gyeongnam0

Pyeongchang United3

Gijang United0

Gimpo FC4

Cheonan City1

Pocheon0

TBD-

Pohang-

Yeoju Citizen1

Bucheon FC 19953

TBD-

Jeju SK-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon Bluewings2

Seoul E-Land1

Daejeon Korail1

Cheongju0

Changwon1

Namyangju2

TBD-

Seoul-

Gangneung1

Chungnam Asan0

TBD-

Daejeon-

Jeonbuk-

TBD-

Ansan Greeners3

Pyeongtaek Citizen1

Sejong SA3

Jeonnam1

TBD-

Anyang-

Daegu-

TBD-

Gimhae5

Geoje1

Gangwon-

TBD-

Siheung Citizen3

Seongnam2

Hwaseong1

Jinju Citizen0

1/16-finals

Busan Kyotong1

Suwon FC2

Gwangju FC2

Gyeongju KHNP0

Ulsan Hyundai-

TBD-

Incheon2

Pyeongchang United1

Gimpo FC2

Cheonan City1

TBD-

Pohang-

Bucheon FC 19951

Jeju SK0

Gimcheon Sangmu2

Suwon Bluewings0

Daejeon Korail3

Namyangju0

TBD-

Seoul-

Gangneung1

Daejeon2

Jeonbuk3

Ansan Greeners0

Sejong SA0

Anyang1

Daegu2

Gimhae0

Gangwon-

TBD-

Siheung Citizen1

Hwaseong0

1/8-finals

Suwon FC1

Gwangju FC2

Ulsan Hyundai3

Incheon0

Gimpo FC2

Pohang1

Bucheon FC 19953

Gimcheon Sangmu1

Daejeon Korail1

Seoul2

Daejeon2

Jeonbuk3

Anyang1

Daegu2

Gangwon2

Siheung Citizen1

Quarter-finals

Gwangju FC1

Ulsan Hyundai0

Gimpo FC1

Bucheon FC 19953

Seoul0

Jeonbuk1

Daegu1

Gangwon2

Semi-finals

Gwangju FC4

Bucheon FC 19951

Jeonbuk3

Gangwon2

Final

Gwangju FC1

Jeonbuk2