Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gwardia Koszalin vs Swinoujscie

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Kopec L.
57' Event
Bac C.
67' Event
Iskra P.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Gwardia Koszalin and Swinoujscie finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swinoujscie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gwardia Koszalin
33%
Draws
27%
Swinoujscie
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gwardia Koszalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gwardia Koszalin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Gwardia Koszalin taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Gwardia Koszalin Clean Sheet 68%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwardia Koszalin Swinoujscie
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Swinoujscie
1:2
Dec 5, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Gwardia Koszalin
1:2
Jul 25, 2020 Club Friendly
Swinoujscie vs Gwardia Koszalin
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwardia Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bac C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Kopec L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iskra P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwardia Koszalin 50 / 100
Swinoujscie 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwardia Koszalin Swinoujscie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GWA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Swinoujscie conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Gwardia Koszalin scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: Swinoujscie registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Swinoujscie
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwardia Koszalin

(Home)
08 Feb
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
0 : 1
Gwardia Koszalin
01 Feb
Gwardia Koszalin
3 : 0
Gryf Slupsk
26 Jun
Unia Janikowo
5 : 2
Gwardia Koszalin
19 Jun
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 0
Gwardia Koszalin
12 Jun
Gwardia Koszalin
2 : 6
Kleczew
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Swinoujscie

(Away)
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
11 Jul
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Jul
Swit Szczecin
3 : 2
Swinoujscie
05 Jul
Swinoujscie
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
30 May
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
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