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Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs LKS Blyskawica Gac

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jaszczak N.
35' Event
Jaszczak N.
61' Event
Orzechowski L.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2021/2022 game between Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory and LKS Blyskawica Gac finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
40%
Draws
29%
LKS Blyskawica Gac
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Clean Sheet 12%
LKS Blyskawica Gac Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory LKS Blyskawica Gac
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.13 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs LKS Blyskawica Gac
3:1
Sep 25, 2021 III Liga - Group III
LKS Blyskawica Gac vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
0:0
May 1, 2021 III Liga - Group III
LKS Blyskawica Gac vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
3:2
Sep 19, 2020 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs LKS Blyskawica Gac
4:1
May 23, 2020 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs LKS Blyskawica Gac
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaszczak N.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

LKS Blyskawica Gac Compare

Top Goalscorer Orzechowski L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory 30 / 100
LKS Blyskawica Gac 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory LKS Blyskawica Gac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

LKS Blyskawica Gac let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory VS LKS Blyskawica Gac
1.13 Goals Scored 1.33
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory

(Home)
22 Feb
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
1 : 3
Starowice Dolne
08 Feb
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
1 : 2
Przemsza Siewierz
27 Jul
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
0 : 0
Tychy 2
17 Jul
Podlesianka Katowice
2 : 1
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
08 Jun
Carina Gubin
3 : 1
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
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LKS Blyskawica Gac

(Away)
20 Feb
Sleza Wroclaw
1 : 1
LKS Blyskawica Gac
22 Feb
LKS Blyskawica Gac
1 : 1
Odra Opole II
24 Jul
LKS Blyskawica Gac
2 : 2
Brzeg
15 Feb
LKS Blyskawica Gac
0 : 2
Polonia Nysa
11 Feb
Sleza Wroclaw
6 : 1
LKS Blyskawica Gac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie II34238386:4277
2Sleza Wroclaw34209583:3769
3Polonia Bytom34205966:3465
4Rekord Bielsko-Biala34188870:4362
5Goczalkowice Zdroj341591047:4154
6Legnica II341571256:6352
7Gornik Zabrze II341561349:4951
8Pniowek Pawlowice3412111155:5547
9Brzeg341441651:4746
10Zielona Gora341291349:4445
11Odra Wodzislaw341271547:6343
12Kluczbork341271555:5743
13Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory349121344:5039
14Carina Gubin341161740:4939
15Warta Gorzow34991641:5436
16Piast Zmigrod341061846:7636
17Karkonosze Jelenia Gora34932240:6930
18LKS Blyskawica Gac34462429:8118
Promotion - Division 2 2022/2023 (Main)