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Gwelup Croatia SC vs Joondalup City

Australia Australia

WA State League Croatian Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Hadfield L.
14' Event
Steer L.
31' Event
Peacock L.

AI Match Summary

Joondalup City in this WA State League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Joondalup City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gwelup Croatia SC
33%
Draws
40%
Joondalup City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Joondalup City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gwelup Croatia SC haven't matched Joondalup City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Joondalup City's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Joondalup City have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwelup Croatia SC Joondalup City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Joondalup City
1:3
Aug 16, 2025 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:2
May 31, 2025 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Joondalup City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwelup Croatia SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Stocks C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Joondalup City Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadfield L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Steer L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwelup Croatia SC 26 / 100
Joondalup City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwelup Croatia SC Joondalup City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Joondalup City has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Gwelup Croatia SC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gwelup Croatia SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gwelup Croatia SC VS Joondalup City
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena16113238:1636
2UWA Nedlands16112338:1935
3Mandurah City1692538:2829
4Joondalup City1691628:2328
5Kingsley Westside1681726:2225
6Inglewood Utd1673614:1724
7Quinns1663721:3121
8Cockburn City1654728:3319
9Gwelup Croatia SC1646623:3118
10Murdoch University Melville1637626:3116
11Subiaco16311226:3910
12Curtin University16231111:279