Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gyeongju KHNP vs Busan Kyotong

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Gyeongju Civic Stadium, Gyeongju
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kim Y.
17' Event
Rabens J.
27' Event
Ribeiro V.

AI Match Summary

Busan Kyotong in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Busan Kyotong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gyeongju KHNP
33%
Draws
40%
Busan Kyotong
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Busan Kyotong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gyeongju KHNP haven't matched Busan Kyotong's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Busan Kyotong a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gyeongju KHNP Clean Sheet 16%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gyeongju KHNP Busan Kyotong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 13 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Busan Kyotong
2:3
Jul 19, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Gyeongju KHNP
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Busan Kyotong
1:0
Jul 7, 2024 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gyeongju KHNP Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Busan Kyotong Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rabens J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gyeongju KHNP 28 / 100
Busan Kyotong 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gyeongju KHNP Busan Kyotong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gyeongju KHNP's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Busan Kyotong conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Gyeongju KHNP has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gyeongju KHNP VS Busan Kyotong
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gyeongju KHNP

(Home)
25 Jul
Gyeongju KHNP
1 : 0
Siheung Citizen
15 Jul
Cheongju
4 : 0
Gyeongju KHNP
11 Jul
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Gyeongju KHNP
05 Jul
Gyeongju KHNP
3 : 0
Seosan Pioneer
28 Jun
Gyeongju KHNP
1 : 3
Pocheon
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Busan Kyotong

(Away)
29 Jul
Busan Kyotong
1 : 2
Jinju Citizen
26 Jul
Yangpyeong
2 : 4
Busan Kyotong
15 Jul
Busan Kyotong
2 : 1
Suwon Bluewings
11 Jul
Siheung Citizen
0 : 2
Busan Kyotong
05 Jul
Busan Kyotong
2 : 1
Gijang United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen18124224:1540
2Pocheon18106231:1636
3Busan Kyotong1896330:1533
4Daejeon Korail1895428:1332
5Dangjin Citizen1984735:2728
6Changwon1868419:1726
7Gyeongju KHNP1857624:2422
8Yeoju Citizen1857621:2322
9Chuncheon1855832:3020
10Gangneung1855816:2720
11Ulsan Citizen1854918:2119
12Yangpyeong1837822:3316
13Mokpo1829715:3115
14Jeonbuk 219171120:4310
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)