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Gyeongju KHNP vs Changwon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Gyeongju Civic Stadium, Gyeongju
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Lee J.
45' Event
Im D.
76' Event
Jung Sung-Ho

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Gyeongju KHNP and Changwon finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gyeongju KHNP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Gyeongju KHNP
15%
Draws
16%
Changwon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gyeongju KHNP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Gyeongju KHNP's 1.43 goals per match outpaces what Changwon have produced (1.34).
  • Win probability leans Gyeongju KHNP's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Gyeongju KHNP Clean Sheet 68%
Changwon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gyeongju KHNP Changwon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Changwon
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Gyeongju KHNP
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Changwon
0:0
Jun 7, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Gyeongju KHNP
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Changwon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gyeongju KHNP Compare

Top Goalscorer Im D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jung Sung-Ho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gyeongju KHNP 95 / 100
Changwon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gyeongju KHNP Changwon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gyeongju KHNP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gyeongju KHNP scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Gyeongju KHNP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Changwon has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gyeongju KHNP VS Changwon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gyeongju KHNP

(Home)
04 Oct
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
20 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
2 : 1
Changwon
12 Sept
Gangneung
0 : 1
Gyeongju KHNP
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
22 Aug
Yangpyeong
3 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
Page 1 of 6

Changwon

(Away)
03 Oct
Changwon
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
20 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
2 : 1
Changwon
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 23 8 4 11 24:26 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 23 3 8 12 28:45 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)