Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gyeongju KHNP vs Daejeon Korail

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Gyeongju Civic Stadium, Gyeongju
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Yoo Ji-Min
65' Event
Jung Sung-Ho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Gyeongju KHNP
20%
Draws
28%
Daejeon Korail
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gyeongju KHNP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Daejeon Korail have won more games recently than Gyeongju KHNP.
  • Win probability leans Gyeongju KHNP's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Gyeongju KHNP Clean Sheet 68%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gyeongju KHNP Daejeon Korail
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Gyeongju KHNP
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Daejeon Korail
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Daejeon Korail
2:1
Mar 16, 2025 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Gyeongju KHNP
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Gyeongju KHNP
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gyeongju KHNP Compare

Top Goalscorer Jung Sung-Ho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Daejeon Korail Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoo Ji-Min
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gyeongju KHNP 77 / 100
Daejeon Korail 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gyeongju KHNP Daejeon Korail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gyeongju KHNP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gyeongju KHNP's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gyeongju KHNP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Daejeon Korail let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gyeongju KHNP VS Daejeon Korail
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gyeongju KHNP

(Home)
20 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
2 : 1
Changwon
12 Sept
Gangneung
0 : 1
Gyeongju KHNP
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
22 Aug
Yangpyeong
3 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
25 Jul
Gyeongju KHNP
1 : 0
Siheung Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Daejeon Korail

(Away)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
25 Jul
Pocheon
1 : 1
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)