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Gyeongju KHNP vs Paju Frontier

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Park G.
35' Event
Yang Jeong-Un
70' Event
Kim D.

AI Match Summary

The Korean Cup 2025 game between Gyeongju KHNP and Paju Frontier finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gyeongju KHNP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gyeongju KHNP
40%
Draws
29%
Paju Frontier
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gyeongju KHNP haven't matched Paju Frontier's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gyeongju KHNP Clean Sheet 19%
Paju Frontier Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gyeongju KHNP Paju Frontier
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 13 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 K3 League
Paju Frontier vs Gyeongju KHNP
0:0
May 11, 2025 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Paju Frontier
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Korean Cup
Gyeongju KHNP vs Paju Frontier
4:1
Jun 29, 2024 K3 League
Paju Frontier vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:1
Mar 2, 2024 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Paju Frontier
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gyeongju KHNP Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Park G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Paju Frontier Compare

Top Goalscorer Park H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gyeongju KHNP 32 / 100
Paju Frontier 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gyeongju KHNP Paju Frontier

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gyeongju KHNP's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Paju Frontier let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Gyeongju KHNP has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gyeongju KHNP VS Paju Frontier
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Yangsan Eogok1
Busan Kyotong2
TBD-
Busan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suwon FC-
Gwangju FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyeongju KHNP-
TBD-
Seoul Jungnang0
Paju Frontier3
Ulsan Hyundai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gimhae Jaemics2
Chuncheon4
TBD-
Incheon-
Gyeongnam-
TBD-
Pyeongchang United2
Yangpyeong1
Hyochang0
Gijang United4
TBD-
Gimpo FC-
Cheonan City-
TBD-
Cheongsol0
Pocheon5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohang-
Yeoju Citizen4
Mokpo3
TBD-
Bucheon FC 1995-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jeju SK-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Suwon Bluewings-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul E-Land-
Incheon Seogot0
Daejeon Korail9
TBD-
Cheongju-
Changwon-
TBD-
Geonyung1
Namyangju5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul-
Dangjin Citizen1
Gangneung2
TBD-
Chungnam Asan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Daejeon-
Jeonbuk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ansan Greeners-
TBD-
Jeonbuk Jeonju0
Pyeongtaek Citizen6
Sejong SA3
Ulsan Citizen0
TBD-
Jeonnam-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Anyang-
Daegu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gimhae-
TBD-
Yangcheon TNT0
Geoje1
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Siheung Citizen-
TBD-
TBD-
Seongnam-
Hwaseong-
TBD-
Jinju Citizen1
Yeoncheon0
1/32-finals
Busan Kyotong2
Busan1
TBD-
Suwon FC-
Gwangju FC-
TBD-
Gyeongju KHNP4
Paju Frontier1
Ulsan Hyundai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chuncheon0
Incheon3
Gyeongnam0
Pyeongchang United3
Gijang United0
Gimpo FC4
Cheonan City1
Pocheon0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohang-
Yeoju Citizen1
Bucheon FC 19953
TBD-
Jeju SK-
Gimcheon Sangmu-
TBD-
Suwon Bluewings2
Seoul E-Land1
Daejeon Korail1
Cheongju0
Changwon1
Namyangju2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Seoul-
Gangneung1
Chungnam Asan0
TBD-
Daejeon-
Jeonbuk-
TBD-
Ansan Greeners3
Pyeongtaek Citizen1
Sejong SA3
Jeonnam1
TBD-
Anyang-
Daegu-
TBD-
Gimhae5
Geoje1
Gangwon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Siheung Citizen3
Seongnam2
Hwaseong1
Jinju Citizen0
1/16-finals
Busan Kyotong1
Suwon FC2
Gwangju FC2
Gyeongju KHNP0
Ulsan Hyundai-
TBD-
Incheon2
Pyeongchang United1
Gimpo FC2
Cheonan City1
TBD-
Pohang-
Bucheon FC 19951
Jeju SK0
Gimcheon Sangmu2
Suwon Bluewings0
Daejeon Korail3
Namyangju0
TBD-
Seoul-
Gangneung1
Daejeon2
Jeonbuk3
Ansan Greeners0
Sejong SA0
Anyang1
Daegu2
Gimhae0
Gangwon-
TBD-
Siheung Citizen1
Hwaseong0
1/8-finals
Suwon FC1
Gwangju FC2
Ulsan Hyundai3
Incheon0
Gimpo FC2
Pohang1
Bucheon FC 19953
Gimcheon Sangmu1
Daejeon Korail1
Seoul2
Daejeon2
Jeonbuk3
Anyang1
Daegu2
Gangwon2
Siheung Citizen1
Quarter-finals
Gwangju FC1
Ulsan Hyundai0
Gimpo FC1
Bucheon FC 19953
Seoul0
Jeonbuk1
Daegu1
Gangwon2
Semi-finals
Gwangju FC4
Bucheon FC 19951
Jeonbuk3
Gangwon2
Final
Gwangju FC1
Jeonbuk2