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Gyeongju KHNP vs Yeoju Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League 2025 Gyeongju Civic Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Yang Chang-Hoon

AI Match Summary

The K3 League 2025 game between Gyeongju KHNP and Yeoju Citizen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yeoju Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Gyeongju KHNP
28%
Draws
50%
Yeoju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Yeoju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gyeongju KHNP haven't matched Yeoju Citizen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Yeoju Citizen a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gyeongju KHNP Clean Sheet 16%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gyeongju KHNP Yeoju Citizen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 13 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Yeoju Citizen
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Yeoju Citizen
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:0
Jul 28, 2024 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Yeoju Citizen
0:2
Apr 14, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gyeongju KHNP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Chang-Hoon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gyeongju KHNP 23 / 100
Yeoju Citizen 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gyeongju KHNP Yeoju Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeoju Citizen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Gyeongju KHNP scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gyeongju KHNP stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gyeongju KHNP VS Yeoju Citizen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimhae28187348:2061
2Siheung Citizen28176545:2557
3Pocheon28167547:2855
4Daejeon Korail28147748:3249
5Gyeongju KHNP28129734:2945
6Busan Kyotong281421235:3444
7Changwon28127931:2343
8Yangpyeong281341127:2443
9Yeoju Citizen281061231:3536
10Paju Frontier281061227:3236
11Gangneung28871338:4531
12Chuncheon28931627:3730
13Ulsan Citizen28561720:3821
14Jeonbuk 228551828:5120
15Mokpo28442018:5116