Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gyulai Termal vs ESMTK Budapest

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Balogh M.
75' Event
Maris D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NB III - Southeast 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Gyulai Termal
15%
Draws
44%
ESMTK Budapest
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ESMTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Gyulai Termal have won more games recently than ESMTK Budapest.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gyulai Termal Clean Sheet 12%
ESMTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gyulai Termal ESMTK Budapest
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.79 2.79
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NB III - Southeast
Gyulai Termal vs ESMTK Budapest
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Gyulai Termal
2:1
May 11, 2025 NB III - Southeast
Gyulai Termal vs ESMTK Budapest
2:3
Oct 27, 2024 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Gyulai Termal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gyulai Termal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

ESMTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Balogh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gyulai Termal 29 / 100
ESMTK Budapest 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gyulai Termal ESMTK Budapest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gyulai Termal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gyulai Termal's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gyulai Termal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

ESMTK Budapest has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gyulai Termal VS ESMTK Budapest
3.5 Goals Scored 3
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gyulai Termal

(Home)
19 Sept
Szegedi
1 : 4
Gyulai Termal
13 Sept
Gyulai Termal
0 : 1
Szentlorinc SE
05 Sept
Gyulai Termal
5 : 0
FC Dabas
30 Aug
Szeged-Csanad GA II
0 : 4
Gyulai Termal
26 Aug
Gyulai Termal
1 : 0
Vasas II
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ESMTK Budapest

(Away)
13 Sept
Lebeny SE
1 : 7
ESMTK Budapest
06 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
2 : 0
Vasas II
29 Aug
Bekescsaba 1912
3 : 3
ESMTK Budapest
26 Aug
ESMTK Budapest
3 : 0
Sandorfalvi
22 Aug
Algyo SK
0 : 3
ESMTK Budapest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monori 30 20 7 3 63:31 67
2 ESMTK Budapest 30 21 3 6 70:24 66
3 Gyulai Termal 30 20 5 5 80:24 65
4 III. Keruleti TVE 30 18 7 5 71:38 61
5 Vasas II 30 14 11 5 65:40 53
6 Csepel 30 15 4 11 50:41 49
7 FC Dabas 30 12 6 12 47:41 42
8 Honved II 30 11 9 10 40:39 42
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 30 11 7 12 46:50 40
10 Hodmezovasarhely 30 10 7 13 48:56 37
11 Szegedi 30 10 5 15 46:62 35
12 BKV Elore 30 9 5 16 50:64 32
13 Szeged-Csanad GA II 30 7 8 15 37:53 29
14 Bekescsaba 1912 II 30 7 5 18 30:61 26
15 Martfui LSE 30 6 2 22 26:75 17
16 Tiszafoldvar 30 3 1 26 25:95 10
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)