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Gzira vs Ghaxaq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 8-0, with Gzira advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Gzira
15%
Draws
76%
Ghaxaq
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ghaxaq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gzira come out ahead of Ghaxaq on wins alone.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Ghaxaq taking it.
  • Gzira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gzira, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gzira Clean Sheet 20%
Ghaxaq Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gzira Ghaxaq
Matches Played 32 12
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 0
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2014 FA Trophy
Gzira vs Ghaxaq
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gzira 16 / 100
Ghaxaq 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gzira Ghaxaq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ghaxaq Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Gzira scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Ghaxaq let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Recent resilience: Gzira stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gzira VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gzira

(Home)
14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0
Zabbar
02 Sept
Floriana
4 : 1
Gzira
29 Aug
Balzan FC
2 : 1
Gzira
23 Aug
Gzira
0 : 3
Valletta
17 Aug
Birkirkara
4 : 0
Gzira
Page 1 of 7

Ghaxaq

(Away)
26 Oct
Mgarr
5 : 1
Ghaxaq
14 Sept
Mtarfa
0 : 2
Ghaxaq
07 Sept
Ghaxaq
4 : 1
Zebbug Rovers
28 Oct
Fgura
4 : 1
Ghaxaq
09 Sept
Victoria Wanderers
0 : 1
Ghaxaq
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
Xghajra -
TBD -
TBD -
Siggiewi -
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Xbiex 1
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Swieqi -
TBD -
Mgarr 1
Kalkara 4
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
Melita -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Attard 0
Kercem Ajax 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera 2
Marsaskala FC 0
Marsaxlokk 0
Qrendi 2
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 0
Mtarfa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Lija -
TBD -
Luqa 3
Oratory 4
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 3
Munxar 0
Xewkija 0
Kirkop 1
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Santa Lucia 3
Qala Saints 2
TBD -
Zabbar -
Nadur 5
Xaghra 0
TBD -
Fgura -
St. Lawrence 2
Mdina 0
TBD -
Gharghur -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/32-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 2
Hamrun 3
Zurrieq 2
Dingli Swallows 1
Xghajra 1
Siggiewi 2
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Mellieha 1
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pembroke 2
Rabat Ajax 1
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 2
Senglea 3
Swieqi 7
Kalkara 0
Ghaxaq 0
Gzira 8
Melita 1
Zejtun 0
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Birzebbuga 3
Kercem Ajax 2
TBD -
Valletta -
Qormi -
TBD -
St. Venera 1
Qrendi 2
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja 4
Mtarfa 0
TBD -
Tarxien -
Lija 7
Oratory 0
San Gwann 1
Sirens 2
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 0
Kirkop 2
Msida 4
Marsa 1
Santa Lucia 1
Zabbar 2
Nadur 2
Fgura 1
St. Lawrence 1
Gharghur 2
St. George's FC 3
St. Andrews 2
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/16-finals
Birkirkara 7
Hamrun 1
Zurrieq 2
Siggiewi 5
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Zebbug 0
Pembroke 0
Pieta 1
Mosta FC 6
Senglea 1
Swieqi 0
Gzira 6
Melita 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Birzebbuga 1
Valletta 7
Qormi 3
Qrendi 0
Sliema 0
Floriana 1
Gudja 3
Tarxien 0
Lija 0
Sirens 1
Balzan FC 2
Kirkop 0
Msida 1
Zabbar 2
Nadur 4
Gharghur 1
St. George's FC 0
Hibernians 2
1/8-finals
Birkirkara 3
Siggiewi 0
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Pieta 1
Mosta FC 4
Gzira 1
Melita 0
Valletta 2
Qormi 3
Floriana 1
Gudja 0
Sirens 6
Balzan FC 6
Zabbar 0
Nadur 1
Hibernians 3
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Pieta 0
Mosta FC 1
Valletta 3
Qormi 7
Sirens 0
Balzan FC 1
Hibernians 2
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 1
Valletta 0
Qormi 0
Hibernians 2
Final
Birkirkara 2
Hibernians 0