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Gzira vs Hamrun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

Premier League Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
Gzira Logo

Gzira

2 - 2
FT
Hamrun Logo

Hamrun

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Trotta M.
33'
Camenzuli R.
45' Event
Saldanha F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Gzira and Hamrun finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Gzira
35%
Draws
45%
Hamrun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hamrun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Gzira haven't matched Hamrun's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hamrun a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gzira Clean Sheet 10%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gzira Hamrun
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Premier League
Gzira vs Hamrun
2:2
Apr 15, 2026 Premier League
Hamrun vs Gzira
0:1
Feb 3, 2026 Premier League
Gzira vs Hamrun
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Hamrun vs Gzira
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
Hamrun vs Gzira
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gzira Compare

Top Goalscorer Saldanha F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pllana A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hamrun Compare

Top Goalscorer Trotta M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gzira 18 / 100
Hamrun 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gzira Hamrun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamrun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gzira's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hamrun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Gzira has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gzira VS Hamrun
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gzira

(Home)
02 Nov
Gzira
0 : 5
Marsaxlokk
25 Oct
Gzira
2 : 2
Birzebbuga
22 Oct
Hibernians
2 : 1
Gzira
18 Oct
Gzira
2 : 2
Hamrun
14 Oct
Gzira
1 : 1
Mosta FC
Page 1 of 6

Hamrun

(Away)
31 Oct
Sliema
1 : 1
Hamrun
25 Oct
Valletta
1 : 2
Hamrun
21 Oct
Hamrun
1 : 1
Balzan FC
18 Oct
Gzira
2 : 2
Hamrun
11 Oct
Hamrun
2 : 2
Hibernians
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valletta 11 8 1 2 23:9 25
2 Marsaxlokk 11 6 2 3 21:14 20
3 Sliema 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
4 Hamrun 11 4 5 2 17:13 17
5 Floriana 11 4 4 3 22:15 16
6 Hibernians 11 4 4 3 13:15 16
7 Birkirkara 11 4 3 4 14:11 15
8 Zabbar 11 4 2 5 17:16 14
9 Mosta FC 11 3 5 3 15:20 14
10 Balzan FC 11 2 5 4 13:14 11
11 Birzebbuga 11 1 3 7 9:21 6
12 Gzira 11 0 5 6 9:26 5
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League (First stage - Play Out)