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Gzira vs Hamrun

Malta Malta

Premier League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gzira host Hamrun in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Gzira have averaged 1 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Hamrun's 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded. Head-to-head, Gzira have won 2 to Hamrun's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.50) point toward Hamrun. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Gzira
20%
Draws
73%
Hamrun
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hamrun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Gzira haven't matched Hamrun's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hamrun a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gzira Clean Sheet 16%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gzira Hamrun
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Premier League
Hamrun vs Gzira
0:1
Feb 3, 2026 Premier League
Gzira vs Hamrun
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Hamrun vs Gzira
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
Hamrun vs Gzira
0:1
Nov 7, 2024 Premier League
Gzira vs Hamrun
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gzira 10 / 100
Hamrun 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gzira Hamrun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamrun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gzira's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Hamrun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gzira stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gzira VS Hamrun
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gzira

(Home)
14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0
Zabbar
02 Sept
Floriana
4 : 1
Gzira
29 Aug
Balzan FC
2 : 1
Gzira
23 Aug
Gzira
0 : 3
Valletta
17 Aug
Birkirkara
4 : 0
Gzira
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Hamrun

(Away)
18 Sept
Hamrun
4 : 1
Marsaxlokk
11 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 2
Hamrun
06 Sept
Zabbar
1 : 2
Hamrun
29 Aug
Hamrun
1 : 1
Floriana
22 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0
Hamrun
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marsaxlokk 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
2 Valletta 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
3 Floriana 5 3 1 1 12:7 10
4 Birkirkara 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
5 Hamrun 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
6 Mosta FC 5 3 1 1 7:5 10
7 Sliema 5 3 0 2 7:7 9
8 Balzan FC 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
9 Hibernians 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
10 Zabbar 6 1 2 3 5:9 5
11 Gzira 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
12 Birzebbuga 5 0 0 5 1:11 0
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League (First stage - Play Out)