Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Borg B.
32'
32'
Bonilla J.
44'
44'
Oderinde C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mosta FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gzira lately — more wins on the board than Mosta FC.
- Win probability leans Mosta FC's way, sitting at 90%.
- Gzira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Gzira, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Gzira Clean Sheet 17%
Mosta FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gzira | Mosta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Premier League
Gzira vs Mosta FC
0:0
Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Gzira vs Mosta FC
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 FA Trophy
Gzira vs Mosta FC
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Gzira vs Mosta FC
1:0
Nov 24, 2025 Premier League
Gzira vs Mosta FC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gzira Compare
Top Goalscorer Borg B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Borg A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Mosta FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Giancarlo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gzira 10 / 100
Mosta FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gzira Mosta FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mosta FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Gzira scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Mosta FC conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Gzira stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gzira VS Mosta FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gzira
(Home) 14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0 Zabbar
02 Sept
Floriana
4 : 1 Gzira
29 Aug
Balzan FC
2 : 1 Gzira
23 Aug
Gzira
0 : 3 Valletta
17 Aug
Birkirkara
4 : 0 Gzira
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0 Zabbar
23 Aug
Gzira
0 : 3 Valletta
24 Jul
Gzira
1 : 1 Mosta FC
30 Apr
Gzira
0 : 1 Floriana
26 Apr
Gzira
0 : 0 Naxxar Lions
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Mosta FC
(Away) 13 Sept
Mosta FC
1 : 3 Sliema
05 Sept
Marsaxlokk
1 : 1 Mosta FC
30 Aug
Mosta FC
1 : 0 Birkirkara
23 Aug
Mosta FC
2 : 1 Balzan FC
17 Aug
Hamrun
0 : 2 Mosta FC
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05 Sept
Marsaxlokk
1 : 1 Mosta FC
17 Aug
Hamrun
0 : 2 Mosta FC
24 Jul
Gzira
1 : 1 Mosta FC
10 May
Naxxar Lions
0 : 1 Mosta FC
30 Apr
Birkirkara
1 : 1 Mosta FC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1
