Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Borg B.
32'
32'
Bonilla J.
44'
44'
Oderinde C.
AI Match Summary
Gzira in this FA Trophy tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gzira lately — more wins on the board than Mosta FC.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Gzira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Gzira, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Gzira have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Gzira Clean Sheet 68%
Mosta FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gzira | Mosta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2026 FA Trophy
Gzira vs Mosta FC
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Gzira vs Mosta FC
1:0
Nov 24, 2025 Premier League
Gzira vs Mosta FC
1:0
Oct 2, 2025 Premier League
Mosta FC vs Gzira
3:4
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Mosta FC vs Gzira
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gzira Compare
Top Goalscorer Borg B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Borg A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Mosta FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Giancarlo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gzira 41 / 100
Mosta FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gzira Mosta FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GIZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gzira found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Mosta FC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Gzira has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gzira VS Mosta FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Gzira
(Home) 17 Jul
Balzan FC
1 : 0 Gzira
23 May
Valletta
2 : 1 Gzira
30 Apr
Gzira
0 : 1 Floriana
26 Apr
Gzira
0 : 0 Naxxar Lions
19 Apr
Marsaxlokk
2 : 1 Gzira
Page 1 of 7
30 Apr
Gzira
0 : 1 Floriana
26 Apr
Gzira
0 : 0 Naxxar Lions
04 Apr
Gzira
2 : 1 Naxxar Lions
07 Mar
Gzira
1 : 0 Hibernians
03 Mar
Gzira
2 : 1 Mosta FC
Page 1 of 4
Mosta FC
(Away) 17 Jul
Mosta FC
0 : 4 Birzebbuga
10 May
Naxxar Lions
0 : 1 Mosta FC
30 Apr
Birkirkara
1 : 1 Mosta FC
24 Apr
Hibernians
2 : 0 Mosta FC
19 Apr
Mosta FC
2 : 2 Sliema
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Naxxar Lions
0 : 1 Mosta FC
30 Apr
Birkirkara
1 : 1 Mosta FC
24 Apr
Hibernians
2 : 0 Mosta FC
11 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 2 Mosta FC
07 Mar
Zabbar
5 : 3 Mosta FC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Tarxien-
TBD-
TBD-
Ghajnsielem-
Pembroke-
TBD-
TBD-
Valletta-
Hamrun-
TBD-
Victoria Hotspurs3
Xaghra1
Fgura-
TBD-
Sirens1
Santa Lucia2
Birkirkara-
TBD-
TBD-
Victoria Wanderers-
Pieta-
TBD-
TBD-
Mtarfa-
Floriana-
TBD-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk-
Zabbar-
TBD-
Melita0
Xewkija1
St. Andrews3
Vittoriosa0
TBD-
Gzira-
Hibernians-
TBD-
TBD-
Gudja-
Zebbug0
Qala Saints5
TBD-
Mgarr-
Mosta FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Mqabba FC-
Zurrieq-
TBD-
TBD-
Kercem Ajax-
Qormi1
Balzan FC4
Nadur1
Birzebbuga4
Sliema-
TBD-
TBD-
Swieqi-
Marsa-
TBD-
TBD-
Naxxar Lions-
1/16-finals
Tarxien4
Ghajnsielem0
Pembroke0
Valletta1
Hamrun5
Victoria Hotspurs0
Fgura2
Santa Lucia1
Birkirkara3
Victoria Wanderers1
Pieta5
Mtarfa0
Floriana1
Marsaxlokk0
Zabbar1
Xewkija0
St. Andrews0
Gzira2
Hibernians3
Gudja1
Qala Saints0
Mgarr2
Mosta FC2
Mqabba FC1
Zurrieq4
Kercem Ajax0
Balzan FC1
Birzebbuga2
Sliema1
Swieqi2
Marsa0
Naxxar Lions3
1/8-finals
Tarxien0
Valletta1
Hamrun5
Fgura0
Birkirkara2
Pieta0
Floriana0
Zabbar1
Gzira3
Hibernians2
Mgarr0
Mosta FC3
Zurrieq3
Birzebbuga0
Swieqi2
Naxxar Lions4
Quarter-finals
Valletta3
Hamrun1
Birkirkara2
Zabbar1
Gzira2
Mosta FC1
Zurrieq1
Naxxar Lions2
Semi-finals
Valletta3
Birkirkara1
Gzira2
Naxxar Lions1
Final
Valletta2
Gzira1