Sport Picks

Israel

Liga Alef South

Kfar Saba 1928

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

H. Herzliya play Kfar Saba 1928 in the Liga Alef South. It looks like a close match. Recently, H. Herzliya averaged 1 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Kfar Saba 1928 averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, H. Herzliya won 1, Kfar Saba 1928 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 16, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.32 for H. Herzliya and 0.25 for Kfar Saba 1928. This points to a Kfar Saba 1928 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

H. Herzliya

33%

Draws

35%

Kfar Saba 1928

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kfar Saba 1928

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

H. Herzliya picked up more points recently compared to Kfar Saba 1928.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.32 vs 0.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

H. Herzliya Clean Sheet 34%

Kfar Saba 1928 Clean Sheet 25%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	H. Herzliya	Kfar Saba 1928
Matches Played	22	24
Wins	5	8
Draws	7	8
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	1	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.64	1.46
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Liga Alef South

Kfar Saba 1928 vs H. Herzliya

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Sep 5, 2025 Liga Alef South

H. Herzliya vs Kfar Saba 1928

Possession: 57% - 60% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

H. Herzliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Yair S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.1

Avg xA / game 0.07

Kfar Saba 1928 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shemesh B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

H. Herzliya 36 / 100

Kfar Saba 1928 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

H. Herzliya Kfar Saba 1928

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kfar Saba 1928 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

H. Herzliya attacking → ← attacking Kfar Saba 1928

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H. Herzliya scored in 59% of their last 22 games.

Kfar Saba 1928 let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

H. Herzliya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kfar Saba 1928 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 32

0.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.25

0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kiryat Gat	21	17	4	0	53:18	55
2	Jerusalem FC	22	11	4	7	45:29	37
3	FC Dimona	22	11	4	7	29:30	37
4	Maccabi Yavne	22	10	6	6	42:28	36
5	Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi	22	10	5	7	27:27	35
6	Tzeirei Tira	21	10	3	8	33:24	33
7	Shimshon Tel Aviv	22	8	6	8	28:28	30
8	Beitar Yavne	22	9	3	10	27:34	30
9	Kfar Saba 1928	22	7	8	7	28:31	29
10	Holon Yermiyahu	22	6	6	10	30:33	24
11	Hapoel Marmorek	22	6	6	10	20:34	24
12	Hapoel Azor	21	5	8	8	17:20	23
13	H. Herzliya	22	5	7	10	22:36	22
14	Ramat Hasharon	22	5	5	12	24:43	19
15	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	21	7	7	7	37:35	16
16	Beitar Nordia Jerusalem	22	3	6	13	28:40	15