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Haarlem vs Cambuur Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2009/2010
Fri, Dec 18, 2009
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Haarlem host Cambuur in the Eerste Divisie 2009/2010. Haarlem go into this one as the clear favorite. Haarlem have averaged 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Cambuur's 1.42 scored and 1.84 conceded. Past meetings favor Cambuur slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 18, 2009, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.42 - 1.18) back Haarlem to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Haarlem
25%
Draws
35%
Cambuur
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Haarlem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Cambuur have won more games recently than Haarlem.
  • Model gives Haarlem a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Haarlem Clean Sheet 20%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haarlem Cambuur
Matches Played 2 31
Wins 1 11
Draws 0 7
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Cambuur
0:0
Sep 4, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Haarlem
0:0
Jan 16, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Cambuur
0:1
Oct 3, 2008 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Haarlem
3:2
Mar 7, 2008 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs Cambuur
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haarlem 58 / 100
Cambuur 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haarlem Cambuur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haarlem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambuur has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Haarlem's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Haarlem has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cambuur
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Haarlem

(Home)
27 Jul
Sheffield Wed
2 : 3
Haarlem
27 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Haarlem

Cambuur

(Away)
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1
Cambuur
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0
Nijmegen
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Cambuur
1 : 4
Twente
23 Aug
Cambuur
2 : 5
Feyenoord
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap 36 25 6 5 85:34 81
2 Cambuur 36 21 8 7 78:48 71
3 Excelsior 36 20 5 11 77:49 65
4 Zwolle 36 19 8 9 59:37 65
5 G.A. Eagles 36 18 9 9 53:33 63
6 Apeldoorn 36 16 9 11 63:52 55
7 Den Bosch 36 14 12 10 66:54 54
8 Helmond Sport 36 16 6 14 63:53 54
9 Veendam 36 14 11 11 57:48 52
10 Maastricht 36 14 7 15 59:67 49
11 Roosendaal 36 12 10 14 47:53 46
12 Eindhoven FC 36 13 7 16 63:81 46
13 Dordrecht 36 13 4 19 54:59 43
14 Almere City 36 11 7 18 40:65 40
15 FC Emmen 36 10 8 18 51:79 38
16 FC Volendam 36 8 11 17 61:81 35
17 Sittard 36 7 9 20 31:57 30
18 Telstar 36 7 8 21 45:65 29
19 TOP Oss 36 6 11 19 42:79 29
20 Haarlem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)