Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Habay La Neuve vs Renaissance Mons

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Bamona L.

AI Match Summary

Renaissance Mons in this National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Renaissance Mons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Habay La Neuve
6%
Draws
90%
Renaissance Mons
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Renaissance Mons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Renaissance Mons have won more games recently than Habay La Neuve.
  • Renaissance Mons are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Habay La Neuve Clean Sheet 16%
Renaissance Mons Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Habay La Neuve Renaissance Mons
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Habay La Neuve vs Renaissance Mons
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs Habay La Neuve
0:0
Jan 25, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Habay La Neuve vs Renaissance Mons
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs Habay La Neuve
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Habay La Neuve Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Renaissance Mons Compare

Top Goalscorer Bamona L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Habay La Neuve 10 / 100
Renaissance Mons 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Habay La Neuve Renaissance Mons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Habay La Neuve's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Renaissance Mons let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.75 goals per match.

Away concern: Renaissance Mons has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Habay La Neuve VS Renaissance Mons
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Habay La Neuve

(Home)
10 May
Virton
2 : 0
Habay La Neuve
03 May
Habay La Neuve
0 : 1
Renaissance Mons
25 Apr
Union Rochefortoise
4 : 1
Habay La Neuve
18 Apr
Tubize-Braine
2 : 0
Habay La Neuve
12 Apr
Habay La Neuve
1 : 2
Meux
Page 1 of 6

Renaissance Mons

(Away)
10 May
Renaissance Mons
3 : 0
Meux
03 May
Habay La Neuve
0 : 1
Renaissance Mons
25 Apr
Renaissance Mons
0 : 0
Tubize-Braine
18 Apr
Renaissance Mons
0 : 2
Virton
11 Apr
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 3
Renaissance Mons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Virton1070318:1345
2Renaissance Mons1063119:843
3Tubize-Braine1044213:1140
4Meux1041515:1631
5Habay La Neuve103169:1528
6Union Rochefortoise1011812:2320
Promotion - Challenger Pro League (Main)