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Stadium Background

Hadamar vs Vellmar

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2017/2018
Hadamar Logo

Hadamar

4 - 1
FT
Vellmar Logo

Vellmar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2017/2018 game between Hadamar and Vellmar finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hadamar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Hadamar
35%
Draws
20%
Vellmar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hadamar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hadamar come out ahead of Vellmar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hadamar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Hadamar Clean Sheet 10%
Vellmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hadamar Vellmar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 2.1 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.33 3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2018 Oberliga Hessen
Hadamar vs Vellmar
4:1
Sep 2, 2017 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Hadamar
2:2
Nov 19, 2016 Oberliga Hessen
Hadamar vs Vellmar
3:2
Oct 3, 2016 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Hadamar
0:2
Dec 5, 2015 Oberliga Hessen
Hadamar vs Vellmar
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hadamar 83 / 100
Vellmar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hadamar Vellmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hadamar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hadamar scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Vellmar has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hadamar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hadamar VS Vellmar
2.5 Goals Scored 0
3.5 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Hadamar

(Home)
15 Aug
Hadamar
4 : 3
Unter-Flockenbach
12 Aug
Giessen
3 : 3
Hadamar
08 Aug
Darmstadt U21
1 : 1
Hadamar
31 Jul
Hadamar
2 : 1
Baunatal
26 Jul
Hadamar
1 : 1
TuS Koblenz
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Vellmar

(Away)
04 Jul
Vellmar
0 : 4
Kassel
28 Jan
Vellmar
4 : 1
Kassel
26 Jun
Vellmar
0 : 6
Kassel
26 May
Vellmar
1 : 2
SpVgg Neu-Isenburg
12 May
Vellmar
1 : 1
Ederbergland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hessen Dreieich 32 23 3 6 88:29 72
2 Alzenau 32 19 9 4 89:39 66
3 Fulda-Lehnerz 32 19 9 4 82:41 66
4 Giessen 32 19 6 7 96:37 63
5 Waldgirmes 32 17 6 9 58:42 57
6 Hadamar 32 14 10 8 79:50 52
7 Fulda 32 15 7 10 63:38 52
8 Ginsheim 32 13 7 12 53:51 46
9 Lohfelden 32 13 5 14 52:55 44
10 Baunatal 32 13 5 14 59:52 44
11 SpVgg Neu-Isenburg 32 10 9 13 41:56 39
12 Flieden 32 12 1 19 48:71 37
13 Ederbergland 32 9 7 16 37:73 34
14 Viktoria Griesheim 32 7 6 19 45:89 27
15 RW Frankfurt 32 7 5 20 46:85 26
16 Vellmar 32 6 5 21 41:95 23
17 SV Steinbach 32 3 6 23 39:113 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2018/2019 (Main)