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Hadamar vs VfB Marburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hadamar host VfB Marburg in the Oberliga Hessen. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. VfB Marburg have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Hadamar have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.97. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.56, favoring Hadamar. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hadamar
15%
Draws
34%
VfB Marburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hadamar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hadamar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hadamar are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hadamar Clean Sheet 15%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hadamar VfB Marburg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hadamar 48 / 100
VfB Marburg 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hadamar VfB Marburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hadamar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hadamar scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: VfB Marburg conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hadamar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: VfB Marburg registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hadamar VS VfB Marburg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hadamar

(Home)
04 Oct
Hanauer SC
1 : 0
Hadamar
26 Sept
Hadamar
2 : 0
Kassel 2
19 Sept
Hunfelder
2 : 0
Hadamar
12 Sept
Hadamar
3 : 0
Alzenau
09 Sept
Hadamar
2 : 1
Giessen
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VfB Marburg

(Away)
03 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 0
CSC 03 Kassel
27 Sept
RW Walldorf
1 : 0
VfB Marburg
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
13 Sept
Eddersheim
4 : 2
VfB Marburg
09 Sept
Stadtallendorf
0 : 2
VfB Marburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stadtallendorf 12 8 2 2 35:11 26
2 Unter-Flockenbach 12 8 1 3 34:23 25
3 Eddersheim 12 7 4 1 28:19 25
4 Turk Gucu Friedberg 12 6 3 3 25:19 21
5 VfB Marburg 12 6 2 4 17:14 20
6 Hadamar 12 6 2 4 20:19 20
7 Pohlheim 12 6 2 4 20:20 20
8 Hunfelder 12 6 1 5 21:19 19
9 Darmstadt U21 12 5 3 4 27:17 18
10 Fernwald 12 3 7 2 20:18 16
11 RW Walldorf 12 4 2 6 19:26 14
12 CSC 03 Kassel 12 4 2 6 12:23 14
13 Alzenau 12 3 4 5 14:18 13
14 Baunatal 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
15 Kassel 2 12 3 2 7 14:18 11
16 Hanauer SC 12 2 4 6 19:29 10
17 Hummetroth 12 2 3 7 17:26 9
18 Giessen 12 1 3 8 15:31 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)