Sport Picks
Hadiya Hossana vs Adama City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
47'
47'
Hussein A.
61'
61'
Tsedeke T.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Hadiya Hossana and Adama City finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hadiya Hossana come out ahead of Adama City on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Hadiya Hossana taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Hadiya Hossana Clean Sheet 68%
Adama City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hadiya Hossana | Adama City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 5, 2026 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Adama City
1:1
Oct 30, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs Hadiya Hossana
0:0
May 29, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs Hadiya Hossana
1:0
Dec 6, 2024 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Adama City
2:0
Apr 7, 2024 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Adama City
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hadiya Hossana Compare
Top Goalscorer Tsedeke T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Adama City Compare
Top Goalscorer Hussein A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hadiya Hossana 51 / 100
Adama City 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hadiya Hossana Adama City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hadiya Hossana found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Adama City let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Hadiya Hossana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hadiya Hossana VS Adama City
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hadiya Hossana
(Home) 03 Jul
Mechal SC
0 : 0 Hadiya Hossana
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
29 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
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27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
19 May
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
09 May
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 0 Hawassa
30 Apr
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
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Adama City
(Away) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
16 May
Fasil Kenema
3 : 1 Adama City
04 May
Mechal SC
0 : 0 Adama City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
