Sport Picks
Hadiya Hossana vs Bahir Dar Kenema - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Hadiya Hossana host Bahir Dar Kenema in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Hadiya Hossana at 0.86 goals for, 0.86 against; Bahir Dar Kenema at 0.66 for, 0.66 against. Past meetings favor Bahir Dar Kenema slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.56 - 0.63) back Hadiya Hossana to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Hadiya Hossana have won more games recently than Bahir Dar Kenema.
- Hadiya Hossana are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Bahir Dar Kenema here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hadiya Hossana | Bahir Dar Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 18 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hadiya Hossana scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Hadiya Hossana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Bahir Dar Kenema let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hadiya Hossana
(Home)Bahir Dar Kenema
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Georges | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hawassa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mechal SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Ethiopian Insurance | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Sidama Bunna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Welayta Dicha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Adama City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Fasil Kenema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Welwalo Adigrat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Hadiya Hossana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Gamo Chencha FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Halaba Ketema FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Sheger Ketema FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
