Sport Picks
Match Events
64'
64'
Arficho H.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Hadiya Hossana and Hawassa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hadiya Hossana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Hadiya Hossana carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Hadiya Hossana's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Hadiya Hossana Clean Sheet 68%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hadiya Hossana | Hawassa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Hawassa
1:0
Dec 30, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Hadiya Hossana
0:1
Feb 27, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Hadiya Hossana
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Hawassa
1:2
May 26, 2024 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Hawassa
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hadiya Hossana 50 / 100
Hawassa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hadiya Hossana Hawassa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hadiya Hossana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hadiya Hossana scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Hawassa let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Hadiya Hossana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hadiya Hossana VS Hawassa
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Hadiya Hossana
(Home) 03 Jul
Mechal SC
0 : 0 Hadiya Hossana
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
29 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
19 May
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
09 May
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 0 Hawassa
30 Apr
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Page 1 of 4
Hawassa
(Away) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
20 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Hawassa
09 May
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 0 Hawassa
29 Apr
Ethiopian Insurance
2 : 1 Hawassa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
