Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Yabsra G.
63'
63'
Yabsra G.
Own Goal
90'
90'
Abdella F.
AI Match Summary
St. Georges in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Georges.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Georges
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Hadiya Hossana have won more games recently than St. Georges.
- St. Georges are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Hadiya Hossana Clean Sheet 28%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hadiya Hossana | St. Georges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs St. Georges
1:2
Nov 21, 2025 Premier League
St. Georges vs Hadiya Hossana
0:1
Apr 2, 2025 Premier League
St. Georges vs Hadiya Hossana
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs St. Georges
1:0
May 18, 2024 Premier League
St. Georges vs Hadiya Hossana
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hadiya Hossana Compare
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
St. Georges Compare
Top Goalscorer Yabsra G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abdella F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hadiya Hossana 25 / 100
St. Georges 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hadiya Hossana St. Georges
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Georges Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hadiya Hossana found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: St. Georges conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Hadiya Hossana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Hadiya Hossana VS St. Georges
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Hadiya Hossana
(Home) 03 Jul
Mechal SC
0 : 0 Hadiya Hossana
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
29 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
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27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
19 May
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
09 May
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 0 Hawassa
30 Apr
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
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St. Georges
(Away) 02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
14 May
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 St. Georges
05 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 0 St. Georges
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
