Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hadley vs Hastings

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Stones I.
61' Event
Dixon J.
66' Event
Fagg T.

AI Match Summary

Hadley in this FA Trophy 2024/2025 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hadley
15%
Draws
45%
Hastings
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hastings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Hastings haven't matched Hadley's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hadley a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Hadley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hadley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hadley Clean Sheet 20%
Hastings Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hadley Hastings
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.7 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 FA Trophy
Hadley vs Hastings
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hadley Compare

Top Goalscorer Stones I.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Hastings Compare

Top Goalscorer Dixon J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fagg T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hadley 36 / 100
Hastings 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hadley Hastings

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hadley found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Hastings's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Hadley went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hadley VS Hastings
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hadley

(Home)
25 Oct
Tilbury
1 : 0
Hadley
04 Oct
Hadley
2 : 1
Dartford
20 Sept
Hadley
3 : 2
Ascot United
06 Sept
Ware
1 : 5
Hadley
07 Dec
Oxford City
2 : 1
Hadley
Page 1 of 6

Hastings

(Away)
12 Sept
Hastings
2 : 1
Bognor Regis
29 Aug
Hastings
2 : 1
Hendon
01 Aug
Hastings
0 : 0
Hashtag
28 Jul
Eastbourne United
0 : 4
Hastings
25 Jul
Concord Rangers
4 : 0
Hastings
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Plymouth Parkway 0
Chichester City 4
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Gosport Borough 5
Taunton Town 1
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Canvey Island 0
Horsham FC 2
TBD -
Maidstone -
Leamington -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Stockton 2
Newton Aycliffe 1
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Macclesfield 7
Ashton United 1
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
St. Albans -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 2
Anstey Nomads 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Barton 0
Folkestone 3
Hanwell Town 5
Hendon 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Halesowen 4
FC Congleton Town 1
Slough Town -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Chatham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Hungerford 2
Yate 3
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hashtag 2
TBD -
Brackley -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 2
Bamber Bridge 3
TBD -
Farsley -
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge 0
Alvechurch 1
Chasetown 2
Belper Town 1
Hereford -
TBD -
Brentwood 4
Cray Valley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Tavistock 0
Winchester City 4
Dover Ath. 0
Sittingbourne 2
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
Salisbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Bath City -
TBD -
Uxbridge 0
Chertsey Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Stortford 1
Felixstowe & Walton 6
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Gloucester City 2
Coleshill Town 3
Biggleswade Town 2
Potters 0
Lewes 3
Ashford United 2
AFC Totton 1
Dorchester 0
Oxford City -
TBD -
Barwell 0
Sporting Khalsa 2
Hadley 4
Hastings 3
Mickleover 1
Telford 2
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands 4
Ossett United 0
Clitheroe 1
Gainsborough 4
TBD -
Chester -
Cambridge City 1
Royston Town 2
TBD -
Rushall -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
TBD -
Bristol Manor Farm 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
Worksop 2
United of Manchester 0
1/64-finals
Chichester City 2
Worthing FC 3
Gosport Borough 1
Tonbridge 0
Torquay 1
Truro 0
Horsham FC 2
Maidstone 1
Leamington 2
King’s Lynn 1
TBD -
Rochdale -
Stockton 3
Scarborough Athletic 1
TBD -
Oldham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton 2
Macclesfield 3
Barnet -
TBD -
Aveley 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
St. Albans 1
Basford Utd. 2
TBD -
Halifax -
Folkestone 0
Hanwell Town 2
TBD -
Eastleigh -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Kidderminster 2
Halesowen 1
Slough Town 2
Chatham 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Yate 0
Hampton & Richmond 2
Hashtag 3
Brackley 2
Alfreton 3
Needham Market 2
Spennymoor 2
South Shields 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge 0
Farsley 1
Boston United -
TBD -
Alvechurch 1
Chasetown 0
Hereford 0
Brentwood 1
TBD -
Southend -
Southport 3
Warrington Town 0
Peterborough Sports 2
Chelmsford 0
Winchester City 1
Sittingbourne 2
Enfield Town 2
Hornchurch 1
Chesham 2
Chippenham Town 0
Salisbury 3
Farnborough 0
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Bath City 2
Chertsey Town 3
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Yeovil -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 2
Weymouth 3
Boreham Wood 2
Felixstowe & Walton 1
Dorking Wanderers 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Coleshill Town 4
Biggleswade Town 5
Lewes 0
AFC Totton 2
Oxford City 5
Sporting Khalsa 0
Hadley 1
Telford 0
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chorley 3
Marine 1
Scunthorpe 1
Warrington Rylands 2
Gainsborough 1
Chester 0
Royston Town 0
Rushall 1
York City -
TBD -
Darlington FC 1
Buxton 0
Woking -
TBD -
Welling 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Radcliffe 3
Worksop 2
1/32-finals
Worthing FC 1
Gosport Borough 2
Torquay 2
Horsham FC 0
Leamington 0
Rochdale 2
Stockton 2
Oldham 0
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 0
Barnet 2
Aveley 0
Basford Utd. 3
Halifax 2
Hanwell Town 1
Eastleigh 2
AFC Fylde 2
Kidderminster 3
Slough Town 2
Maidenhead 1
Sutton 4
Ebbsfleet 3
Hartlepool 1
Tamworth 2
Hampton & Richmond 3
Hashtag 0
Alfreton 0
Spennymoor 1
Gateshead 8
Farsley 1
Boston United 1
Alvechurch 0
Brentwood 3
Southend 5
Southport 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Sittingbourne 4
Enfield Town 2
Chesham 2
Salisbury 3
Aldershot 3
Wealdstone 1
Chertsey Town 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Yeovil 1
Weymouth 2
Boreham Wood 1
Eastbourne Borough 0
Biggleswade Town 2
AFC Totton 1
Oxford City 2
Hadley 1
Braintree 1
Forest Green 2
Chorley 3
Warrington Rylands 2
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 1
York City 3
Darlington FC 1
Woking 4
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Solihull Moors 1
Radcliffe 2
1/16-finals
Worthing FC 5
Torquay 1
Rochdale 1
Stockton 0
Altrincham 3
Barnet 1
Basford Utd. 1
Eastleigh 4
Kidderminster 4
Slough Town 0
Sutton 1
Tamworth 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Spennymoor 2
Gateshead 1
Boston United 3
Southend 1
Southport 0
Sittingbourne 2
Salisbury 1
Aldershot 8
Chertsey Town 0
Weymouth 1
Boreham Wood 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Oxford City 3
Forest Green 2
Chorley 0
Gainsborough 1
York City 0
Woking 4
Radcliffe 0
1/8-finals
Worthing FC 1
Rochdale 2
Altrincham 1
Eastleigh 0
Kidderminster 0
Sutton 1
Spennymoor 3
Boston United 2
Southend 0
Sittingbourne 1
Aldershot 2
Boreham Wood 0
Oxford City 1
Forest Green 0
Gainsborough 0
Woking 3
Quarter-finals
Rochdale 2
Altrincham 0
Sutton 0
Spennymoor 2
Sittingbourne 0
Aldershot 3
Oxford City 2
Woking 3
Semi-finals
Rochdale 2
Spennymoor 3
Aldershot 2
Woking 1
Final
Spennymoor 0
Aldershot 3