Sport Picks

Iceland

Besta deild karla Kaplakriki

Hafnarfjordur

1 - 1

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Bjornsson U.

Assist: Halldorsson K.

46'

Sub

Jeffs L. In: Sowe O.

Out: Jeffs L.

46'

Sowe O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Hafnarfjordur

Draws

90%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to IBV Vestmannaeyjar lately — more wins on the board than Hafnarfjordur.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%

Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hafnarfjordur	IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	5	8
Draws	12	7
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1	2
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Besta deild karla

Hafnarfjordur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Possession: 42% - 60% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Apr 12, 2026 Besta deild karla

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Hafnarfjordur

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Feb 12, 2026 League Cup

Hafnarfjordur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Aug 24, 2025 Besta deild karla

Hafnarfjordur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

May 29, 2025 Besta deild karla

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Hafnarfjordur

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjornsson U.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sowe O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur 10 / 100

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hafnarfjordur IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VES Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:6

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBV Vestmannaeyjar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Hafnarfjordur stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Hafnarfjordur's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur VS IBV Vestmannaeyjar

1 Goals Scored 2

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	14	13	1	0	48:9	40
2	KR Reykjavik	15	10	2	3	53:36	32
3	Fram	14	9	3	2	38:26	30
4	Breidablik	14	7	4	3	34:26	25
5	Valur	15	6	1	8	24:29	19
6	Keflavik	14	4	4	6	19:26	16
7	Stjarnan	14	4	3	7	28:31	15
8	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	14	4	3	7	24:31	15
9	Akranes	14	4	3	7	19:28	15
10	KA Akureyri	14	4	1	9	22:30	13
11	Hafnarfjordur	14	2	5	7	20:31	11
12	Thor Akureyri	14	2	2	10	15:41	8