Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hafnarfjordur vs Akranes

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kaplakriki, Hafnarfjördur
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Olafsson I.
27'
Jonsson V.
50'
Sandberg E. T.

AI Match Summary

Akranes in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Akranes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Hafnarfjordur
17%
Draws
13%
Akranes
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Akranes lately — more wins on the board than Hafnarfjordur.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Hafnarfjordur taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 16%
Akranes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur Akranes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 13 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Akranes
0:1
Aug 11, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Akranes
3:2
May 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Hafnarfjordur
1:3
Oct 6, 2024 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Hafnarfjordur
4:1
Jul 22, 2024 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Akranes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Akranes Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefansson O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur 66 / 100
Akranes 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur Akranes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Akranes conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hafnarfjordur stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Hafnarfjordur scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur VS Akranes
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnarfjordur

(Home)
26 Jul
Fram
0 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
20 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
0 : 0
Breidablik
12 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 0
Valur
03 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 2
Stjarnan
28 Jun
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

Akranes

(Away)
26 Jul
Akranes
5 : 1
Stjarnan
20 Jul
Keflavik
5 : 2
Akranes
12 Jul
KA Akureyri
3 : 2
Akranes
04 Jul
Akranes
1 : 2
Breidablik
29 Jun
Akranes
0 : 2
Fram
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik16141154:1243
2KR Reykjavik16112358:3635
3Fram16104241:2834
4Breidablik1685335:2629
5Valur1661926:3219
6Keflavik1654725:3319
7Akranes1653826:3418
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1644826:3416
9KA Akureyri1643924:3215
10Stjarnan1643929:4115
11Hafnarfjordur1627720:3113
12Thor Akureyri16331017:4212
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)