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Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kaplakriki, Hafnarfjördur
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Gunnarsson G.
32' Event
Rae L.
46'
Sub
Gunnarsson G. In: Robertsson T.
Out: Gunnarsson G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hafnarfjordur
20%
Draws
33%
KR Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hafnarfjordur haven't matched KR Reykjavik's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur KR Reykjavik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.37 3.27
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik
1:1
Apr 27, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur
4:2
Jun 29, 2025 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur
3:2
Apr 23, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik
2:2
Aug 12, 2024 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Halldorsson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Rae L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur 29 / 100
KR Reykjavik 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur KR Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: KR Reykjavik conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Hafnarfjordur found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Hafnarfjordur remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur VS KR Reykjavik
1.13 Goals Scored 3.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnarfjordur

(Home)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
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KR Reykjavik

(Away)
19 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)