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Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kaplakriki, Hafnarfjördur
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Gunnarsson G.
32' Event
Rae L.
46'
Sub
Gunnarsson G. In: Robertsson T.
Out: Gunnarsson G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Hafnarfjordur
35%
Draws
36%
KR Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: KR Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Hafnarfjordur haven't matched KR Reykjavik's recent run of results.
  • Model gives KR Reykjavik a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur KR Reykjavik
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 19
Draws 11 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.5 3.34
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik
1:1
Apr 27, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur
4:2
Jun 29, 2025 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur
3:2
Apr 23, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik
2:2
Aug 12, 2024 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Halldorsson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Rae L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur 22 / 100
KR Reykjavik 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur KR Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KR Reykjavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: KR Reykjavik conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Hafnarfjordur remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Hafnarfjordur found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur VS KR Reykjavik
1.13 Goals Scored 3.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnarfjordur

(Home)
09 Aug
KA Akureyri
0 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
05 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
KR Reykjavik
26 Jul
Fram
0 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
20 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
0 : 0
Breidablik
12 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 0
Valur
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KR Reykjavik

(Away)
10 Aug
Fram
2 : 5
KR Reykjavik
05 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
KR Reykjavik
19 Jul
KR Reykjavik
5 : 0
Stjarnan
12 Jul
KR Reykjavik
5 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
02 Jul
Thor Akureyri
3 : 3
KR Reykjavik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 19 15 3 1 62:18 48
2 KR Reykjavik 19 12 4 3 67:42 40
3 Fram 18 11 4 3 45:34 37
4 Breidablik 19 8 6 5 39:33 30
5 Akranes 19 7 4 8 33:37 25
6 Keflavik 19 7 4 8 30:34 25
7 Valur 18 7 1 10 31:36 22
8 Stjarnan 18 6 3 9 33:43 21
9 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 19 4 5 10 30:41 17
10 Hafnarfjordur 19 3 8 8 24:36 17
11 KA Akureyri 18 4 3 11 24:36 15
12 Thor Akureyri 19 4 3 12 18:46 15
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)