Sport Picks
Hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iceland
Besta deild karla Kaplakriki, Hafnarfjördur 
AI Match Summary
Hafnarfjordur host Thor Akureyri in the Besta deild karla. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Hafnarfjordur have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.82 conceded recently, against Thor Akureyri's 1.18 scored and 2.36 conceded. Head-to-head, Hafnarfjordur have won 2 to Thor Akureyri's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.00) point toward Hafnarfjordur. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Thor Akureyri come out ahead of Hafnarfjordur on wins alone.
- Model gives Hafnarfjordur a 53% chance of winning this.
- Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hafnarfjordur | Thor Akureyri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 2.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Thor Akureyri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Hafnarfjordur found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Hafnarfjordur went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hafnarfjordur
(Home)Thor Akureyri
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valur | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 44:47 | 31 |
| 2 | Stjarnan | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 46:55 | 31 |
| 3 | Hafnarfjordur | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 4 | KA Akureyri | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 38:51 | 23 |
| 5 | Thor Akureyri | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 23:57 | 21 |
| 6 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 33:48 | 19 |
