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Hafnarfjordur W vs Stjarnan W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Kaplakriki, Hafnarfjördur
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hermannsdottir I.
Assist: Magnusdottir I.
25' Event
Hermannsdottir I.
Assist: Hermannsdottir T.
29' Event
Palsdottir A.

AI Match Summary

Hafnarfjordur W in this Besta deild Women matchup, with the score ending 7-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hafnarfjordur W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hafnarfjordur W
20%
Draws
29%
Stjarnan W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hafnarfjordur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hafnarfjordur W have won more games recently than Stjarnan W.
  • Hafnarfjordur W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hafnarfjordur W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Hafnarfjordur W Clean Sheet 10%
Stjarnan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur W Stjarnan W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 3 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Stjarnan W
7:3
May 10, 2026 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:2
Feb 16, 2026 League Cup Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:3
Oct 1, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
3:4
Aug 21, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hafnarfjordur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hermannsdottir I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Haraldsdottir H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Stjarnan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Palsdottir A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiernan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur W 47 / 100
Stjarnan W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur W Stjarnan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hafnarfjordur W scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Stjarnan W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Hafnarfjordur W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur W VS Stjarnan W
3.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafnarfjordur W

(Home)
06 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
2 : 1
Thor/KA W
02 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
26 Aug
Apollon Limassol W
0 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
21 Aug
Hafnarfjordur W
0 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W
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Stjarnan W

(Away)
07 Sept
Stjarnan W
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
29 Aug
Fram W
3 : 2
Stjarnan W
20 Aug
Stjarnan W
2 : 0
Breidablik W
13 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
3 : 2
Stjarnan W
06 Aug
Stjarnan W
1 : 1
Throttur W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)