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Hafnarfjordur W vs Stjarnan W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Kaplakriki
Tue, Jul 21, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hafnarfjordur W host Stjarnan W in the Besta deild Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Stjarnan W have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Hafnarfjordur W have conceded 1.38 and scored 3.63. Past meetings favor Hafnarfjordur W slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.25 - 1.69) back Hafnarfjordur W to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hafnarfjordur W
33%
Draws
27%
Stjarnan W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hafnarfjordur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Hafnarfjordur W have won more games recently than Stjarnan W.
  • Hafnarfjordur W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hafnarfjordur W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Hafnarfjordur W Clean Sheet 13%
Stjarnan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafnarfjordur W Stjarnan W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 3.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:2
Feb 16, 2026 League Cup Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
1:3
Oct 1, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
3:4
Aug 21, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Hafnarfjordur W
2:2
May 9, 2025 Besta deild Women
Hafnarfjordur W vs Stjarnan W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafnarfjordur W 39 / 100
Stjarnan W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafnarfjordur W Stjarnan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hafnarfjordur W scored in 97% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Stjarnan W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Hafnarfjordur W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hafnarfjordur W VS Stjarnan W
3.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hafnarfjordur W1072131:1523
2Breidablik W1070327:1421
3Stjarnan W1053217:918
4IBV Vestmannaeyjar W1052316:1717
5Throttur W1041514:1613
6Grindavik/Njardvik W1033411:1512
7Valur W102449:1210
8Vikingur Reykjavik W1031618:2610
9Thor/KA W1023514:199
10Fram W1021711:257