Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Gudlaugsson A.
14'
14'
Gudlaugsson A.
16'
16'
Leitch M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 12-0, with Hafnir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hafnir
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hafnir carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Hafnir a 57% chance of winning this.
- Hafnir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor KM Reykjavik, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Hafnir Clean Sheet 12%
KM Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hafnir | KM Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 8 | 7 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.88 | 5.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Hafnir vs KM Reykjavik
12:0
Apr 10, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Hafnir vs KM Reykjavik
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hafnir Compare
Top Goalscorer Leitch M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Sverrisson J.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2
KM Reykjavik Compare
Avg xG / game 1.56
Avg xA / game 0.96
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hafnir 83 / 100
KM Reykjavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hafnir KM Reykjavik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hafnir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
KM Reykjavik has conceded goals in 86% of their last 7 outings.
These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.
KM Reykjavik's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Hafnir found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (8 games).
Scoring Trends
Hafnir VS KM Reykjavik
2.63 Goals Scored 0.57
2.88 Goals Conceded 5.71
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
63% Over 3.5 71%
Recent Form & Match History
Hafnir
(Home) 19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0 Hafnir
05 Apr
Throttur
7 : 0 Hafnir
28 Mar
Ymir
3 : 4 Hafnir
25 Apr
IH Hafnarfjordur
4 : 2 Hafnir
12 Apr
Hafnir
3 : 0 Ulfarnir
Page 1 of 2
12 Apr
Hafnir
3 : 0 Ulfarnir
05 Apr
Hafnir
12 : 0 KM Reykjavik
10 Apr
Hafnir
0 : 1 KM Reykjavik
KM Reykjavik
(Away) 05 Apr
Hafnir
12 : 0 KM Reykjavik
22 Apr
Grotta
12 : 0 KM Reykjavik
10 Apr
Hafnir
0 : 1 KM Reykjavik
25 Apr
KM Reykjavik
0 : 4 Haukar
06 Jun
Midas
4 : 1 KM Reykjavik
Page 1 of 2
05 Apr
Hafnir
12 : 0 KM Reykjavik
22 Apr
Grotta
12 : 0 KM Reykjavik
10 Apr
Hafnir
0 : 1 KM Reykjavik
06 Jun
Midas
4 : 1 KM Reykjavik
30 May
IBU
1 : 2 KM Reykjavik
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Alafoss 0
KFG Gardabaer 6
Hamar 2
Hviti 5
TBD -
Grindavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFR 4
KFK Kopavogur 8
Vidir 2
Sindri 1
Spyrnir 0
Hottur / Huginn 5
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Vaengirs 6
Hordur Isafjordur 2
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KH Hlidarendi 5
Reynir 1
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Selfoss -
Stokkseyri -
Kari 5
IBU 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
Augnablik 7
Alftanes 1
SR Reykjavik 2
Kormakur/Hvot 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur Vogar 1
KA Asvellir 3
Midas 1
RB Keflavik 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 3
KFS 0
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Skallagrimur 1
Aegir 3
Haukar 20
Afrika Reykjavik 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Arborg 12
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Smari 2
Arbaer 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fram -
Lettir 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 7
Ymir 11
Thorlakur 0
Hafnir 12
KM Reykjavik 0
Kria 1
Ulfarnir 2
Ellidi 0
Olafsvik 3
TBD -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tindastoll 7
Samherjar 0
TBD -
Magni -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
KFG Gardabaer 1
Hviti 0
Grindavik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
KFK Kopavogur 0
Vidir 3
Hottur / Huginn 2
Volsungur 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Vaengirs 1
Throttur 7
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KH Hlidarendi 2
Fjolnir 4
Selfoss 3
Kari 1
Grotta 3
Njardvik 2
Thor Akureyri 5
KFA 1
Augnablik 5
Kormakur/Hvot 2
TBD -
Stjarnan -
KA Asvellir 6
RB Keflavik 3
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 1
IR Reykjavik 7
Aegir 2
Haukar 3
TBD -
Vestri -
Arborg 1
Arbaer 2
TBD -
Fram -
IH Hafnarfjordur 5
Ymir 4
Hafnir 3
Ulfarnir 0
Olafsvik 2
Keflavik 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Tindastoll 2
Magni 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Grindavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Vidir 1
Hottur / Huginn 0
Fylkir 1
Throttur 1
Kopavogur 2
Fjolnir 4
Selfoss 2
Grotta 0
Thor Akureyri 3
Augnablik 1
Stjarnan 2
KA Asvellir 2
KR Reykjavik 9
KA Akureyri 2
IR Reykjavik 1
Haukar 2
Vestri 4
Arbaer 0
Fram 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
Hafnir 2
Keflavik 2
Breidablik 1
Akranes 3
Tindastoll 0
Afturelding 4
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Valur 3
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
Grindavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 3
Kopavogur 1
Fjolnir 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Stjarnan 5
KR Reykjavik 3
KA Akureyri 3
Vestri 1
Fram 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Keflavik 3
Akranes 1
Afturelding 1
Valur 3
Quarter-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Fylkir 1
Thor Akureyri 0
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 3
Fram 0
Keflavik 3
Valur 4
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 2
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
KA Akureyri 2
