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Haiti U19 W vs Mexico U19 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2019
Sun, May 12, 2019
0 - 1
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mexico U19 W is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Haiti U19 W, backed by a win probability of 64%. Haiti U19 W averages 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded in recent matches. Mexico U19 W shows a form average of 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Haiti U19 W, 1 wins for Mexico U19 W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 12.05.19 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.27 for Haiti U19 W and 2.34 for Mexico U19 W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Mexico U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Haiti U19 W
15%
Draws
64%
Mexico U19 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Haiti U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Mexico U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.27 vs 2.34 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23%
Haiti U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
Mexico U19 W Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haiti U19 W Mexico U19 W
Matches Played 5 7
Wins 1 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.4 2.29
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.40 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

12.05.19 Friendly International Women
Haiti U19 W vs Mexico U19 W
0:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Haiti U19 W

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Mexico U19 W

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haiti U19 W 21 / 100
Mexico U19 W 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haiti U19 W Mexico U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U19 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Mexico U19 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Mexico U19 W will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Haiti U19 W 23%
Mexico U19 W 51%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Haiti U19 W will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Mexico U19 W's early runs.

Haiti U19 W 20%
Mexico U19 W 67%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Mexico U19 W to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Haiti U19 W tries to push forward.

Haiti U19 W 21%
Mexico U19 W 64%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Mexico U19 W increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Haiti U19 W 22%
Mexico U19 W 61%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Haiti U19 W's defense, opening up opportunities for Mexico U19 W's forward line.

Haiti U19 W 19%
Mexico U19 W 70%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Mexico U19 W to manage the closing stages, while Haiti U19 W searches for late drama.

Haiti U19 W 24%
Mexico U19 W 74%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Haiti U19 W attacking → ← attacking Mexico U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haiti U19 W have found the net in 20% of their last 5 matches.

Mexico U19 W have conceded at least one goal in 57% of their last 7 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.00 goals per match.

Haiti U19 W remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Mexico U19 W suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Friendly match context where both Haiti U19 W and Mexico U19 W will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 9
1.40 Goals expected (xG) 2.29
2.40 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.14