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Halcones de Zapopan vs Zacatepec

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Halcones de Zapopan
35%
Draws
35%
Zacatepec
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Zacatepec haven't matched Halcones de Zapopan's recent run of results.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Halcones de Zapopan taking it.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Halcones de Zapopan Clean Sheet 68%
Zacatepec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halcones de Zapopan Zacatepec
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.67 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Halcones de Zapopan vs Zacatepec
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Zacatepec vs Halcones de Zapopan
2:0
Jan 11, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Halcones de Zapopan vs Zacatepec
4:0
Sep 7, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Zacatepec vs Halcones de Zapopan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halcones de Zapopan 59 / 100
Zacatepec 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halcones de Zapopan Zacatepec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Halcones de Zapopan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Halcones de Zapopan found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Halcones de Zapopan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Zacatepec has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Halcones de Zapopan VS Zacatepec
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Halcones de Zapopan

(Home)
03 May
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
29 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
25 Apr
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 2
Halcones de Zapopan
22 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
0 : 0
Racing de Veracruz
19 Apr
Tigres de Alica
2 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 6

Zacatepec

(Away)
29 Aug
Tigres de Alica
3 : 1
Zacatepec
26 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Zacatepec
22 Apr
Zacatepec
2 : 2
Alacranes de Durango
19 Apr
FC Santiago
2 : 3
Zacatepec
15 Apr
Zacatepec
1 : 1
FC Santiago
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)