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Halesowen vs Gresley

England England

FA Trophy 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Halesowen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Halesowen
15%
Draws
0%
Gresley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Halesowen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Halesowen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Halesowen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Halesowen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Halesowen, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Halesowen Clean Sheet 20%
Gresley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halesowen Gresley
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.87 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2014 FA Trophy
Halesowen vs Gresley
2:0
Sep 29, 2012 FA Trophy
Halesowen vs Gresley
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halesowen 85 / 100
Gresley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halesowen Gresley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Halesowen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Gresley has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Halesowen scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Gresley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Halesowen VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Halesowen

(Home)
12 Sept
Halesowen
4 : 2
Leighton Town
05 Sept
Halesowen
3 : 1
Basford Utd.
31 Aug
Redditch
3 : 1
Halesowen
29 Aug
Halesowen
0 : 2
Real Bedford
22 Aug
Needham Market
0 : 1
Halesowen
Page 1 of 7

Gresley

(Away)
23 Jul
Gresley
0 : 1
Nuneaton
09 Sept
Gresley
0 : 6
Kidsgrove Athletic
13 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 0
Gresley
13 Oct
Gresley
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
07 Oct
Gresley
0 : 1
Bedworth United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough 1
Lowestoft 2
Weymouth 3
Cray Wanderers 1
East Thurrock Utd 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Oxford City 6
Lewes 1
Hornchurch 2
Wimborne 4
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Bradford PA 3
Leamington 1
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Wealdstone 4
St. Albans 1
Horsham FC 0
Hayes & Yeading 6
Bristol Rovers -
TBD -
Gloucester City 1
Bath City 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Hendon 0
TBD -
Welling -
Didcot 5
Merthyr Town 4
TBD -
Forest Green -
Gosport Borough 4
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
Whitehawk 0
Basingstoke 1
Sudbury 2
Neots 1
TBD -
Braintree -
Farnborough 2
Sholing 1
Bedford 2
Weston-super-Mare 3
Poole Town 5
Staines 4
Metropolitan Police 1
Maidenhead 2
Hyde 4
Tamworth 3
Chasetown 0
Spennymoor 3
Boston United 2
Workington 1
Mickleover 2
North Ferriby United 6
Halifax -
TBD -
Barrow 0
Worcester 3
Lincoln City -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfreton -
Burgess Hill 3
Leatherhead 2
TBD -
Aldershot -
Solihull Moors 2
Redditch 1
TBD -
Dartford -
Gateshead -
TBD -
Gresley 0
Halesowen 2
Nuneaton -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby -
Stockport County 2
Colwyn Bay 1
Banbury 0
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
United of Manchester 4
Barwell 3
King’s Lynn 0
Harrogate 1
Guiseley 2
Rushall 1
Stalybridge 3
Chorley 4
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Gainsborough 2
Brackley 1
Hednesford 2
AFC Fylde 3
Hemel Hempstead 2
Truro 1
Hereford 1
Sutton 2
Barnet -
TBD -
Boreham Wood 0
Concord Rangers 4
Bromley 3
Tonbridge 0
TBD -
Leiston -
Stortford 4
Chelmsford 3
TBD -
Torquay -
1/32-finals
Dover Ath. 3
Lowestoft 1
Weymouth 1
Havant & Waterlooville 6
Oxford City 3
Wimborne 0
Eastleigh 0
Woking 2
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 0
Bradford PA 1
Kidderminster 4
Wealdstone 1
Hayes & Yeading 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Bath City 2
Ebbsfleet 4
Welling 3
Didcot 2
Forest Green 5
Gosport Borough 4
Basingstoke 3
Sudbury 0
Braintree 1
Farnborough 3
Weston-super-Mare 1
Poole Town 1
Maidenhead 2
Hyde 4
Spennymoor 2
Boston United 1
North Ferriby United 3
Halifax 1
Worcester 0
Lincoln City 0
Alfreton 2
Burgess Hill 1
Aldershot 0
Solihull Moors 0
Dartford 2
Gateshead 2
Halesowen 0
Nuneaton 0
Grimsby 2
Stockport County 3
Ramsbottom Utd 0
Southport 1
Wrexham 3
United of Manchester 4
Harrogate 0
Guiseley 0
Chorley 2
Telford 3
Chester 2
Gainsborough 0
AFC Fylde 3
Hemel Hempstead 1
Sutton 0
Barnet 2
Concord Rangers 6
Bromley 2
Leiston 0
Stortford 0
Torquay 5
1/16-finals
Dover Ath. 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Oxford City 3
Woking 4
Altrincham 1
Kidderminster 0
Wealdstone 1
Bath City 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Forest Green 0
Gosport Borough 0
Braintree 2
Farnborough 3
Maidenhead 2
Hyde 0
North Ferriby United 2
Halifax 5
Alfreton 3
Burgess Hill 1
Dartford 2
Gateshead 3
Grimsby 2
Stockport County 3
Wrexham 8
United of Manchester 4
Chorley 3
Telford 0
AFC Fylde 4
Hemel Hempstead 3
Concord Rangers 1
Bromley 0
Torquay 4
1/8-finals
Dover Ath. 4
Woking 3
Altrincham 0
Bath City 1
Ebbsfleet 3
Braintree 1
Farnborough 0
North Ferriby United 2
Halifax 5
Dartford 3
Gateshead 3
Wrexham 4
United of Manchester 3
AFC Fylde 1
Hemel Hempstead 0
Torquay 2
Quarter-finals
Dover Ath. 4
Bath City 5
Ebbsfleet 0
North Ferriby United 1
Halifax 0
Wrexham 1
United of Manchester 0
Torquay 1
Semi-finals
Bath City 3
North Ferriby United 4
Wrexham 5
Torquay 1
Final
North Ferriby United 4
Wrexham 3