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Halifax vs Middlesbrough U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 The Shay, Halifax
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Finch S.
Assist: Coulson F.
43' Event
Cooke J.
46'
Sub
Edmundson G. In: Cartwright F.
Out: Edmundson G.

AI Match Summary

Halifax in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Halifax
35%
Draws
34%
Middlesbrough U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Middlesbrough U21 haven't matched Halifax's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Halifax's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Halifax have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Middlesbrough U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Halifax Clean Sheet 20%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Halifax Middlesbrough U21
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.86 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 National League Cup
Halifax vs Middlesbrough U21
2:1
Nov 12, 2024 National League Cup
Halifax vs Middlesbrough U21
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Halifax Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooke J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Devonport O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Middlesbrough U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Finch S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Halifax 42 / 100
Middlesbrough U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Halifax Middlesbrough U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Halifax scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Middlesbrough U21 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Halifax remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Halifax VS Middlesbrough U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.71
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Halifax

(Home)
03 Oct
Solihull Moors
0 : 2
Halifax
29 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Boston United
26 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Halifax
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Wealdstone
0 : 1
Halifax
Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough U21

(Away)
30 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 0
Juventus U21
23 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 1
Genk U21
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)