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Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ham-Kam host Bodo/Glimt in the Eliteserien. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ham-Kam have averaged 1.62 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Bodo/Glimt's 2.79 scored and 1.15 conceded. Past meetings favor Bodo/Glimt slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Bodo/Glimt. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ham-Kam
15%
Draws
59%
Bodo/Glimt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bodo/Glimt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bodo/Glimt have won more games recently than Ham-Kam.
  • Model gives Bodo/Glimt a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bodo/Glimt have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 20%
Bodo/Glimt Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ham-Kam Bodo/Glimt
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 26
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.62 2.79
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam
3:0
Aug 3, 2025 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt
1:3
Apr 5, 2025 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam
3:0
Sep 13, 2024 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam
3:0
May 20, 2024 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ham-Kam 20 / 100
Bodo/Glimt 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ham-Kam Bodo/Glimt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bodo/Glimt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ham-Kam scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Bodo/Glimt let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ham-Kam stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ham-Kam VS Bodo/Glimt
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ham-Kam

(Home)
20 Sept
Tromso
3 : 2
Ham-Kam
16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2
Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2
Kristiansund
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Bodo/Glimt

(Away)
01 Oct
Rana FK
2 : 6
Bodo/Glimt
20 Sept
Brann
2 : 1
Bodo/Glimt
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Sandefjord
10 Sept
Bayern Munich
5 : 0
Bodo/Glimt
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)