Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Larsen H.
Assist: Nyhammer T.
47'
47'
Hjerto-Dahl J.
Assist: Thongla-Iad Warneryd A.
52'
52'
Jenssen R.
Assist: Larsen H.
AI Match Summary
The Eliteserien game between Ham-Kam and Tromso finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tromso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ham-Kam
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tromso carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Ham-Kam's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Tromso here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 20%
Tromso Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ham-Kam | Tromso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Tromso
1:4
Sep 21, 2025 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Ham-Kam
1:0
Jun 22, 2025 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Tromso
1:3
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Tromso vs Ham-Kam
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Ham-Kam
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ham-Kam Compare
Top Goalscorer Niang M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Tromso Compare
Top Goalscorer Larsen H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hjerto-Dahl J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ham-Kam 76 / 100
Tromso 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ham-Kam Tromso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ham-Kam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Ham-Kam scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Ham-Kam has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tromso lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ham-Kam VS Tromso
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Ham-Kam
(Home) 16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2 Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5 Molde
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2 Kristiansund
23 Aug
Trysil
0 : 5 Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5 Molde
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2 Kristiansund
09 Aug
Ham-Kam
1 : 1 Aalesund
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4 Tromso
25 May
Ham-Kam
2 : 0 Lillestrom
Page 1 of 3
Tromso
(Away) 16 Sept
Alta
1 : 2 Tromso
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3 Tromso
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0 Tromso
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Sarpsborg 08
27 Aug
Brighton
4 : 0 Tromso
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Alta
1 : 2 Tromso
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3 Tromso
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0 Tromso
27 Aug
Brighton
4 : 0 Tromso
22 Aug
Ulfstind
0 : 5 Tromso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 52:17 | 50 |
| 2 | Viking | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 51:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Molde | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 43:30 | 36 |
| 4 | Tromso | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37:27 | 35 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 28:26 | 32 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:29 | 30 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24:31 | 27 |
| 8 | Brann | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 37:31 | 26 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:26 | 25 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27:41 | 23 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 33:42 | 22 |
| 12 | KFUM Oslo | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22:34 | 22 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18:27 | 20 |
| 14 | Kristiansund | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20:37 | 19 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31:45 | 18 |
| 16 | Start | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:41 | 16 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
