Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ham-Kam vs Tromso

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Larsen H.
Assist: Nyhammer T.
47' Event
Hjerto-Dahl J.
Assist: Thongla-Iad Warneryd A.
52' Event
Jenssen R.
Assist: Larsen H.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Ham-Kam and Tromso finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tromso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ham-Kam
6%
Draws
90%
Tromso
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tromso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tromso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tromso's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tromso here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 20%
Tromso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ham-Kam Tromso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Tromso
1:4
Sep 21, 2025 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Ham-Kam
1:0
Jun 22, 2025 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Tromso
1:3
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Tromso vs Ham-Kam
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Ham-Kam
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ham-Kam Compare

Top Goalscorer Niang M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tromso Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hjerto-Dahl J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ham-Kam 10 / 100
Tromso 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ham-Kam Tromso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Ham-Kam scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Tromso has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Ham-Kam went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ham-Kam VS Tromso
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ham-Kam

(Home)
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Ham-Kam
22 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4
Tromso
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
27 Jun
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
Ham-Kam
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Tromso

(Away)
30 Jul
Hradec Kralove
3 : 1
Tromso
23 Jul
Tromso
0 : 1
Hradec Kralove
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4
Tromso
11 Jul
Tromso
4 : 0
Valerenga
25 Jun
Tromso
4 : 1
Orgryte
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt16122241:1138
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1581622:1825
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Ham-Kam1563623:2621
8Valerenga1562722:2720
9Brann1561830:2519
10Rosenborg1453619:1818
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)