Sport Picks
Hamam-Sousse vs AS Agareb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
61'
61'
Mani N.
72'
72'
Jarraya M. A.
90'
90'
Hassine A. B.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Hamam-Sousse and AS Agareb finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamam-Sousse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Agareb
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hamam-Sousse come out ahead of AS Agareb on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 68%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamam-Sousse | AS Agareb |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs AS Agareb
3:0
Sep 20, 2025 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Hamam-Sousse
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamam-Sousse Compare
Top Goalscorer Mani N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jarraya M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
AS Agareb Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamam-Sousse 42 / 100
AS Agareb 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamam-Sousse AS Agareb
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hamam-Sousse's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: AS Agareb conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Hamam-Sousse remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hamam-Sousse VS AS Agareb
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamam-Sousse
(Home) 12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0 Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0 Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3 PS Sakiet Eddaier
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2 Sfax Railways
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 4
AS Agareb
(Away) 03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3 Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2 AS Agareb
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1 AS Agareb
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2 AS Agareb
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1 AS Agareb
13 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 AS Agareb
29 Mar
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 AS Agareb
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
