Sport Picks
Hamam-Sousse vs Megrine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
44'
44'
Briki H.
45'
45'
Smari O.
49'
49'
Mansour K.
AI Match Summary
Hamam-Sousse in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hamam-Sousse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
35%
57%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Megrine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hamam-Sousse have won more games recently than Megrine.
- Win probability leans Megrine's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Hamam-Sousse have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 23%
Megrine Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamam-Sousse | Megrine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Megrine
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Ligue 2
Megrine vs Hamam-Sousse
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Megrine
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Ligue 2
Megrine vs Hamam-Sousse
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamam-Sousse Compare
Top Goalscorer Briki H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Smari O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Megrine Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamam-Sousse 24 / 100
Megrine 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamam-Sousse Megrine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Megrine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hamam-Sousse's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Megrine let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Hamam-Sousse stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hamam-Sousse VS Megrine
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamam-Sousse
(Home) 12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0 Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0 Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3 PS Sakiet Eddaier
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2 Sfax Railways
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 4
Megrine
(Away) 03 Oct
Megrine
1 : 1 ES Beni-Khalled
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2 Megrine
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1 BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2 Megrine
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2 Megrine
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
13 Apr
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Megrine
29 Mar
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 1 Megrine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
