Sport Picks
Hamam-Sousse vs Oued Ellil
Tunisia
Tunisia Cup 2024/2025 
AI Match Summary
Hamam-Sousse in this Tunisia Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oued Ellil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Oued Ellil haven't matched Hamam-Sousse's recent run of results.
- Oued Ellil are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Hamam-Sousse have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Hamam-Sousse, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 23%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamam-Sousse | Oued Ellil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Hamam-Sousse
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Hamam-Sousse vs Oued Ellil
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Oued Ellil
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Oued Ellil
1:0
Nov 11, 2023 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Hamam-Sousse
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamam-Sousse 21 / 100
Oued Ellil 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamam-Sousse Oued Ellil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hamam-Sousse scored in 61% of their last 33 outings.
Defensive concern: Oued Ellil conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 0.80 goals.
Hamam-Sousse went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hamam-Sousse VS Oued Ellil
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamam-Sousse
(Home) 12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0 Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0 Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3 PS Sakiet Eddaier
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2 Sfax Railways
13 Apr
Hamam-Sousse
3 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 4
Oued Ellil
(Away) 08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1 Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2 Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1 EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1 Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6
08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1 Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2 Oued Ellil
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
26 Apr
Rades
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
19 Apr
Korba
2 : 0 Oued Ellil
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeunesse Sportive -
Chebika -
TBD -
Kalaa 1
Djelma 2
Moknine 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
TBD -
ES Fahs -
US Tataouine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Olympique Beja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Khdhra Sport -
TBD -
Chebba 0
Msaken 2
Badr El Ain -
TBD -
ES Jerba 0
JS Kairouan 2
Sfax Railways 1
Ariana 0
EM Mahdia 1
AS Marsa 3
Mornag -
TBD -
Menzel Bourguiba 2
Korba 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Khniss -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Hamma -
Ettadhamen -
TBD -
TBD -
JS Manouba -
Stade Tunisien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sidi Bouzid 1
Rades 1
TBD -
Nahdha Jammal -
Ben Guerdane -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Bizertin -
Zriba-Hammam -
TBD -
Stade Gabesien 0
Megrine 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Gafsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redeyef 1
Hamam-Sousse 2
Oued Ellil 2
Espoir Rogba 0
Om Laarayes -
TBD -
TBD -
Widad Sers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soliman -
Bembla -
TBD -
TBD -
Aigle Teboulba -
Jebel Jeloud -
TBD -
Hammam-Lif 1
BS Bouhajla 0
Esperance Tunis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kasserine 1
Kerkennah 0
TBD -
Sportive Kebili -
Menzel Temim -
TBD -
AS Agareb 0
Jendouba Sport 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zarzis -
1/32-finals
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
Jeunesse Sportive -
Chebika 0
Djelma 2
PS Sakiet Eddaier 5
ES Fahs 0
US Tataouine -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Olympique Beja -
TBD -
Khdhra Sport 0
Msaken 1
Badr El Ain 2
JS Kairouan 5
Sfax Railways 3
AS Marsa 2
Mornag 2
Menzel Bourguiba 1
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Khniss 2
AS Hamma 0
Ettadhamen 1
JS Manouba 2
Stade Tunisien -
TBD -
Sidi Bouzid 2
Nahdha Jammal 0
Ben Guerdane -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Bizertin -
Zriba-Hammam 1
Megrine 0
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Gafsa -
TBD -
Hamam-Sousse 1
Oued Ellil 0
Om Laarayes 1
Widad Sers 0
TBD -
Soliman -
Bembla 3
Aigle Teboulba 1
Jebel Jeloud 0
Hammam-Lif 1
Esperance Tunis -
TBD -
Kasserine 6
Sportive Kebili 0
Menzel Temim 0
Jendouba Sport 6
TBD -
AS Gabes -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
Zarzis -
1/16-finals
Monastir 2
Jeunesse Sportive 1
Djelma 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 0
US Tataouine 0
Club Africain 1
Olympique Beja 0
Msaken 1
JS Kairouan 1
Sfax Railways 0
Mornag 0
Etoile Sahel 1
Khniss 0
JS Manouba 1
Stade Tunisien 1
Sidi Bouzid 0
Ben Guerdane 1
CA Bizertin 0
Zriba-Hammam 0
CS Sfaxien 5
Gafsa 2
Hamam-Sousse 1
Om Laarayes 1
Soliman 2
Bembla 2
Hammam-Lif 4
Esperance Tunis 6
Kasserine 0
Jendouba Sport 0
AS Gabes 1
Metlaoui 0
Zarzis 2
1/8-finals
Monastir 5
Djelma 0
Club Africain 2
Msaken 1
JS Kairouan 0
Etoile Sahel 1
JS Manouba 0
Stade Tunisien 2
Ben Guerdane 1
CS Sfaxien 0
Gafsa 1
Soliman 0
Hammam-Lif 0
Esperance Tunis 4
AS Gabes 0
Zarzis 2
Quarter-finals
Monastir 3
Club Africain 0
Etoile Sahel 0
Stade Tunisien 1
Ben Guerdane 3
Gafsa 2
Esperance Tunis 3
Zarzis 1
Semi-finals
Monastir 0
Stade Tunisien 1
Ben Guerdane 0
Esperance Tunis 3
Final
Stade Tunisien 0
Esperance Tunis 1
