Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamangia Baia vs Sporting Liesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2 2023/2024
Sat, Nov 4, 2023
0 - 3
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamangia Baia host Sporting Liesti in the Liga 3 - Seria 2 2023/2024. This has Sporting Liesti written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Hamangia Baia at 1.28 goals for, 3.55 against; Sporting Liesti at 2.82 for, 1.68 against. Past meetings favor Sporting Liesti slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 4, 2023, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.24, favoring Sporting Liesti. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Hamangia Baia
15%
Draws
64%
Sporting Liesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Liesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Hamangia Baia haven't matched Sporting Liesti's recent run of results.
  • Sporting Liesti are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hamangia Baia Clean Sheet 19%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamangia Baia Sporting Liesti
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 9 26
Draws 2 1
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.28 2.82
Goals Conceded 3.55 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Hamangia Baia vs Sporting Liesti
0:3
Sep 2, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sporting Liesti vs Hamangia Baia
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamangia Baia 10 / 100
Sporting Liesti 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamangia Baia Sporting Liesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Liesti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Sporting Liesti let in goals in 71% of their last 38 matches.

Hamangia Baia found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Hamangia Baia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sporting Liesti
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamangia Baia

(Home)
31 Jul
Hamangia Baia
0 : 3
Braila
25 May
Sutesti
0 : 3
Hamangia Baia
18 May
Hamangia Baia
0 : 3
Braila
11 May
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
3 : 1
Hamangia Baia
08 May
Hamangia Baia
0 : 3
Viitorul Ianca
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Liesti

(Away)
26 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 1
Otelul 2
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Sporting Liesti
5 : 4
Inainte Modelu
12 Sept
Agigea
2 : 0
Sporting Liesti
05 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 0
Portul Constanta
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metalul Buzau 18 16 1 1 66:6 49
2 CSM Focsani 18 14 0 4 58:16 42
3 Sporting Liesti 18 11 2 5 39:28 35
4 Unirea Branistea 18 9 3 6 41:27 30
5 CSM Ramnicu Sarat 18 9 2 7 47:34 29
6 Braila 18 7 1 10 26:36 22
7 Hamangia Baia 18 6 1 11 23:72 19
8 Vointa Limpezis 18 4 3 11 24:47 15
9 Viitorul Ianca 18 4 2 12 23:37 14
10 Sutesti 18 2 1 15 14:58 7
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 2 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 2 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)