Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022

VfL Lohbrugge

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hamburger III play VfL Lohbrugge in the Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hamburger III averaged 1.56 goals scored and 3.75 conceded. VfL Lohbrugge averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Hamburger III won 2, VfL Lohbrugge won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 1, 2022 ended 6:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Hamburger III and 2.38 for VfL Lohbrugge. This points to a VfL Lohbrugge double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Hamburger III

15%

Draws

47%

VfL Lohbrugge

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VfL Lohbrugge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Hamburger III picked up more points recently compared to VfL Lohbrugge.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 77%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Hamburger III Clean Sheet 10%

VfL Lohbrugge Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hamburger III	VfL Lohbrugge
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	5	7
Draws	2	2
Losses	25	21
Goals Scored	1.56	1.3
Goals Conceded	3.75	2.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg

Hamburger III vs VfL Lohbrugge

Possession: 60% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

6:3

Feb 26, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg

VfL Lohbrugge vs Hamburger III

Possession: 47% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

2:4

Nov 13, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg

Hamburger III vs VfL Lohbrugge

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger III 36 / 100

VfL Lohbrugge 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hamburger III VfL Lohbrugge

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: VfL Lohbrugge or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.6%

1.41

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hamburger III attacking → ← attacking VfL Lohbrugge

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamburger III scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

VfL Lohbrugge let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Hamburger III went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

VfL Lohbrugge lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 23

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00