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Hamburger vs Bayern Munich - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamburger host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Hamburger have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Bayern Munich's 3.52 scored and 1.26 conceded. Past meetings favor Bayern Munich slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 2.88) point toward Bayern Munich. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Hamburger
20%
Draws
52%
Bayern Munich
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayern Munich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayern Munich come out ahead of Hamburger on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bayern Munich a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bayern Munich have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamburger Bayern Munich
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 22
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.4 3.52
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Bayern Munich
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Hamburger
5:0
Aug 15, 2018 Club Friendly
Hamburger vs Bayern Munich
1:4
Mar 10, 2018 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Hamburger
6:0
Oct 21, 2017 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Bayern Munich
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger 10 / 100
Bayern Munich 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamburger Bayern Munich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern Munich Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamburger found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Bayern Munich let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Hamburger has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamburger VS Bayern Munich
1.25 Goals Scored 3.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamburger

(Home)
06 Nov
Hamburger
3 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
01 Nov
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 1
Hamburger
27 Oct
Hamburger
1 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
24 Oct
Paderborn
1 : 0
Hamburger
17 Oct
Hamburger
1 : 0
VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6

Bayern Munich

(Away)
03 Nov
Atl. Madrid
0 : 2
Bayern Munich
31 Oct
Bayern Munich
2 : 2
Dortmund
28 Oct
Bayern Munich
6 : 1
Magdeburg
25 Oct
Freiburg
1 : 3
Bayern Munich
21 Oct
Bayern Munich
2 : 2
Arsenal
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 5 3 0 27:8 18
2 Dortmund 8 5 3 0 14:6 18
3 Freiburg 8 5 1 2 18:10 16
4 RB Leipzig 8 5 0 3 22:11 15
5 Werder Bremen 8 4 3 1 17:14 15
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 18:16 13
7 Elversberg 8 4 1 3 16:16 13
8 Hamburger 9 4 0 5 10:20 12
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
10 Mainz 8 3 1 4 17:17 10
11 Augsburg 8 2 3 3 18:15 9
12 VfB Stuttgart 8 3 0 5 14:15 9
13 Hoffenheim 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
14 1. FC Koln 8 2 3 3 9:12 9
15 Paderborn 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
16 Union Berlin 8 1 4 3 7:19 7
17 Schalke 8 1 3 4 4:9 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 9 1 1 7 12:25 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)