Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Jatta B.
Assist: Gronbaek A.
16'
16'
Matanovic I.
Assist: Kubler L.
20'
20'
Kubler L.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Hamburger and Freiburg finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamburger.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
15%
61%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Hamburger haven't matched Freiburg's recent run of results.
- Freiburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Freiburg have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamburger | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 20 |
| Draws | 9 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Freiburg
3:2
Jan 10, 2026 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Hamburger
2:1
Oct 30, 2024 DFB Pokal
Freiburg vs Hamburger
2:1
Jan 13, 2023 Club Friendly
Freiburg vs Hamburger
6:2
Apr 19, 2022 DFB Pokal
Hamburger vs Freiburg
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamburger Compare
Top Goalscorer Jatta B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vuskovic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Freiburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Matanovic I.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamburger 10 / 100
Freiburg 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamburger Freiburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Freiburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Hamburger found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Freiburg conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.
Hamburger went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hamburger VS Freiburg
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamburger
(Home) 13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 Hamburger
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5 Mainz
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
24 Aug
Verl
0 : 3 Hamburger
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2 Hamburger
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06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5 Mainz
08 Aug
Hamburger
2 : 2 Lille
01 Aug
Hamburger
1 : 2 Everton
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2 Freiburg
25 Apr
Hamburger
1 : 2 Hoffenheim
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Freiburg
(Away) 12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0 B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1 Freiburg
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
27 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Motherwell
23 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 5 Freiburg
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05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1 Freiburg
23 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 5 Freiburg
20 Aug
Motherwell
1 : 3 Freiburg
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2 Freiburg
30 Apr
Braga
2 : 1 Freiburg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
